Cienciano vs Cajamarca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
20/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.250.03
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
271
Shots on target
130
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
90
Passes
87% (419/484)66% (148/225)
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
3.250.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.900.00
Total shots
271
Shots on target
130
Shots off target
91
Blocked shots
50
Shots inside the box
171
Shots outside the box
100
Hit the woodwork
20
Headed goals
20
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
90
Touches in opposition box
324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
710
Passes
87% (419/484)66% (148/225)
Long passes
76% (65/85)19% (9/47)
Passes in final third
75% (123/165)43% (33/77)
Crosses
24% (9/37)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.08
Throw ins
1816
Fouls
107
Tackles
44% (8/18)75% (6/8)
Duels won
3732
Clearances
834
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
09
xGOT faced
0.002.90
Goals prevented
0.00-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Garces C. ,
  • 10', Lagos R. 🟥,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Garces C. , Souza Espana C. (A),
  • 32', Arrasco M. , Andrade T. ,
  • 41', 3 - 0, Bandiera N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Paucar E. , Meza C. ,
  • 46', Miguez P. , Timana H. ,
  • 46', Almiron M. , Bernaola B. ,
  • 46', Robles A. , Aguirre G. ,
  • 46', Bandiera N. , Succar M. ,
  • 46', Nunez C. , Aguilar R. ,
  • 60', Souza Espana C. , Sandoval R. ,
  • 61', Garces C. , Cavero S. ,
  • 83', Palacios B. , Alegria P. ,

Chances of winning


Cienciano
65.9%
Draw
19.8%
Cajamarca
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 19.5% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1% 18.3% 10.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Cienciano - Cajamarca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.34)
    4.65
    (4.77)
    6.66
    (8.43)
    8.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cienciano - Cajamarca?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16).
    • Cienciano is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cajamarca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Cienciano is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J. (Broken calfbone)
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Medina J. (Broken Hand) Orejuela J. G. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Cienciano will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Cienciano
    15.03.2026 Cusco - Cienciano 1:2
    09.03.2026 Cienciano - Sport Boys 3:1
    05.03.2026 Cienciano - FBC Melgar 2:1
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza Lima1292122:51729
    2Los Chankas1292121:14729
    3Cienciano1382327:161126
    4U. de Deportes1263318:12621
    5Comerciantes Unidos1354417:16119
    6Cusco1261515:19-419
    7FBC Melgar1252518:16217
    8AD Tarma1344516:15116
    9Cajamarca1244418:18016
    10Moquegua1251614:18-416
    11Juan Pablo II1243518:27-915
    12Sporting Cristal1242620:20014
    13Alianza Atl1235411:11014
    14Deportivo Garcilaso1234512:16-413
    15Sport Huancayo1233614:18-412
    16Sport Boys1333713:19-612
    17Grau132479:15-610
    18FC Cajamarca1323816:24-89

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