Result
2:1
01/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (108/182) | 78% (279/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (108/182) | 78% (279/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (15/50) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (35/77) | 68% (81/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Garces C. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Garces C. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
- 33', Beltran C. 🟨,
- 43', Erustes P. (Pen),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Erustes P. ⚽, Zubczuk P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Paucar E. ↓, Gomez N. ↑,
- 62', Lojas J. 🟨,
- 70', Celi Y. ↓, Arancibia F. ↑,
- 71', Ortiz J. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
- 72', Nunez O. 🟨,
- 76', Torrejon C. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 1, Naya E. ⚽, Arancibia F. (A),
- 78', Naya E. 🟨,
- 82', Sandoval K. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
- 83', Galeano L. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
- 83', Neira C. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 88', Naya E. ↓, Portales J. ↑,
- 90+3', Zubczuk P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
29.1% | Draw
27.9% | Cienciano
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Garcilaso's form might have worsened.Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cienciano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Garcilaso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cienciano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.31) |
3.32 ↓
(3.68) |
2.11 ↓
(2.87) |
7.7%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Deportivo Garcilaso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cienciano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Cienciano?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cienciano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano were as follows:
22.02.2025
Cienciano
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:3
21.09.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cienciano
1:0
19.04.2024
Cienciano
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
0:2
24.09.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cienciano
0:3
06.05.2023
Cienciano
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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