Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano
Result
2:1
01/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.71
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
59% (108/182)78% (279/357)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.321.08
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2218
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
63
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
59% (108/182)78% (279/357)
Long passes
30% (15/50)49% (30/61)
Passes in final third
45% (35/77)68% (81/119)
Crosses
55% (6/11)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.431.02
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
1311
Tackles
63% (5/8)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4450
Clearances
2422
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.082.32
Goals prevented
0.080.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Garces C. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Garces C. , Gonzalez A. (A),
  • 33', Beltran C. 🟨,
  • 43', Erustes P. (Pen),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Erustes P. , Zubczuk P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Paucar E. , Gomez N. ,
  • 62', Lojas J. 🟨,
  • 70', Celi Y. , Arancibia F. ,
  • 71', Ortiz J. , Da Silva B. ,
  • 72', Nunez O. 🟨,
  • 76', Torrejon C. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Naya E. , Arancibia F. (A),
  • 78', Naya E. 🟨,
  • 82', Sandoval K. , Garrafa Tapia I. A. ,
  • 83', Galeano L. , Noronha O. ,
  • 83', Neira C. , Benites Vargas L. E. ,
  • 88', Naya E. , Portales J. ,
  • 90+3', Zubczuk P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
29.1%
Draw
27.9%
Cienciano
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 25.8% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 25.4% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Garcilaso's form might have worsened.
  • Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cienciano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Garcilaso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cienciano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.31)
    3.35
    (3.68)
    2.21
    (2.87)
    6.8%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Deportivo Garcilaso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cienciano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There are questionable in Cienciano: Romagnoli J. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:3
    21.09.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano 1:0
    19.04.2024 Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:2
    24.09.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano 0:3
    06.05.2023 Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0
    Latest results of Cienciano
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco761011:3819
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7Cienciano933314:12212
    8Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    9Los Chankas840412:20-812
    10Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    11Alianza Atl82426:3310
    12Grau831411:11010
    13Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    14AD Tarma83148:12-410
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys91264:12-85
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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