Cienciano vs Los Chankas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
04/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.23
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
122
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
81% (298/370)76% (219/287)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.23
xG on target (xGOT)
4.370.04
Total shots
227
Shots on target
122
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
337
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
81% (298/370)76% (219/287)
Long passes
51% (36/70)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
66% (61/93)50% (33/66)
Crosses
46% (6/13)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.24
Throw-ins
1529
Fouls
1616
Tackles
83% (5/6)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4034
Clearances
1927
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
29
xGOT faced
0.044.37
Goals prevented
0.041.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Hohberg A. ,
  • 37', Da Silva B. 🟨,
  • 41', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Neira C. , Arias Fierro S. D. ,
  • 45+3', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gonzalez H. , Dioses D. ,
  • 62', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
  • 63', Da Silva B. , Souza Espana C. ,
  • 63', Gonzalez A. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 73', Quintana A. , Camargo I. ,
  • 75', Mogollon E. 🟨,
  • 80', Hohberg A. , Benites Vargas L. E. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Benites Vargas L. E. ,
  • 88', Guivin Tanta J. , Palomino J. ,
  • 88', Manzaneda J. , Espinoza Vega F. E. ,
  • 88', Mogollon E. , Gonzales D. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Garces C. , Benites Vargas L. E. (A),

Chances of winning


Cienciano
60.2%
Draw
23%
Los Chankas
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 23.4% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 23.4% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Cienciano - Los Chankas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.5)
    4.1
    (4)
    5.59
    (6.5)
    4.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cienciano - Los Chankas?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cienciano: 46.1%91.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Cienciano (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Cienciano (3.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Cienciano (4.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Cienciano (3.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Cienciano (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Cienciano (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cienciano will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.
    • Cienciano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Los Chankas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cienciano is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Los Chankas: Velarde C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D. (Injury) Romagnoli J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Los Chankas: Saravia F. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:4. (average 2.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Los Chankas were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Los Chankas - Cienciano 0:0
    03.08.2024 Cienciano - Los Chankas 0:0
    26.02.2024 Los Chankas - Cienciano 1:2
    14.01.2024 Cienciano - Los Chankas 1:3
    Latest results of Cienciano
    Latest results of Los Chankas
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas972018:10823
    2Alianza Lima962112:5720
    3Cienciano961222:121019
    4U. de Deportes953112:7518
    5Cajamarca942312:11114
    6Cusco941412:10213
    7Juan Pablo II941415:21-613
    8Comerciantes Unidos933313:13012
    9Sporting Cristal932416:13311
    10Alianza Atl92529:8111
    11FBC Melgar932413:13011
    12Deportivo Garcilaso92439:10-110
    13Moquegua93158:15-710
    14AD Tarma92349:12-39
    15Sport Huancayo92259:13-48
    16Sport Boys92258:12-48
    17Grau91445:10-57
    18FC Cajamarca912610:17-75

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