ADT Tarma vs Los Chankas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Unión Tarma (Tarma).

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.23	1.32
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
7	4
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
2	2
Passes
83% (299/360)	77% (223/288)
Yellow cards
3	1
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.23	1.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.86	1.17
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked shots
2	1
Shots inside the box
8	7
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
2	2
Touches in opposition box
21	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
8	17
Passes
83% (299/360)	77% (223/288)
Long passes
53% (36/68)	38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
60% (53/89)	56% (45/81)
Crosses
35% (6/17)	39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.72
Throw ins
18	15
Fouls
17	8
Tackles
83% (10/12)	100% (8/8)
Duels won
32	38
Clearances
16	23
Interceptions
6	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.17	2.86
Goals prevented
1.17	-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Narvaez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Gutierrez A. ↓, Hidalgo A. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Cedron V. ⚽, Narvaez J. (A),
61', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cabello C. ↑,
61', Rengifo H. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Bauman J. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
65', Cedron V. 🟨,
66', Sanchez K. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
66', Quintana A. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
68', Takeuchi O. ↓, Ospina J. ↑,
68', Palomino J. 🟨,
70', Cedron V. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Bauman J. ⚽,
80', Alvino J. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
83', Quintero J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
83', Gonzales D. ↓, Guevara B. ↑,
84', Cabello C. 🟨,
84', Cabello C. 🟥,
90+2', 4 - 0, Benites Vargas L. E. ⚽, Bauman J. (A),

Chances of winning

ADT Tarma
40.7%

Draw
27.5%

Los Chankas
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

30.3%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

31.3%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADT Tarma's form might have worsened.

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Chankas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Chankas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ADT Tarma - Los Chankas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.75)	3.39 ↑ (3.09)	2.98 ↓ (5.73)	8% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Los Chankas?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Chankas: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2).
ADT has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Los Chankas is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Los Chankas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in ADT: Arakaki H. (Injury)
There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Los Chankas: Gonzalez H. (Knee Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Los Chankas?

ADT Tarma has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against ADT Tarma?

Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Los Chankas were as follows:

10.11.2025 ADT Tarma - Los Chankas 1:0

04.07.2025 Los Chankas - ADT Tarma 1:1

27.07.2024 ADT Tarma - Los Chankas 2:1

11.02.2024 Los Chankas - ADT Tarma 2:0

Latest results of ADT Tarma

18.04.2026 Cajamarca - ADT Tarma 2:2 ✺

14.04.2026 ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima 0:1 ✺

03.04.2026 Cienciano - ADT Tarma 3:2 ✺

20.03.2026 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 1:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Los Chankas

23.04.2026 Los Chankas - Cienciano 1:0 ✺

17.04.2026 Los Chankas - Atlético Grau 2:0 ✺

06.04.2026 Cajamarca - Los Chankas 0:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal 3:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Juan Pablo II College - Los Chankas 2:3 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	12	9	2	1	22:5	17	29
2	Los Chankas	12	9	2	1	21:14	7	29
3	Cienciano	12	7	2	3	26:16	10	23
4	U. de Deportes	12	6	3	3	18:12	6	21
5	Comerciantes Unidos	12	5	4	3	17:15	2	19
6	Cusco	12	6	1	5	15:19	-4	19
7	FBC Melgar	12	5	2	5	18:16	2	17
8	Cajamarca	12	4	4	4	18:18	0	16
9	Moquegua	12	5	1	6	14:18	-4	16
10	Juan Pablo II	12	4	3	5	18:27	-9	15
11	Sporting Cristal	12	4	2	6	20:20	0	14
12	Alianza Atl	12	3	5	4	11:11	0	14
13	AD Tarma	12	3	4	5	15:15	0	13
14	Deportivo Garcilaso	12	3	4	5	12:16	-4	13
15	Sport Huancayo	12	3	3	6	14:18	-4	12
16	Sport Boys	12	3	3	6	11:16	-5	12
17	Grau	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10
18	FC Cajamarca	12	1	3	8	13:22	-9	6

Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )