Result
97:87
28/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Lega A - Round 24
- Referee: Dori G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Italy | LBA TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 67 | 69 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 55.22% | 46.38% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 71.43% | 57.89% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 39 | 31 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 43.59% | 32.26% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 54.5% | 81.3% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
Chances of winning
Varese
46% | Derthona Basket Tortona
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(2.03) |
|
1.76 ↓
(1.77) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 173.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Varese will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tortona will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tortona (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5, OT - Tortona (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tortona (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:88.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 0.
- Recent performances by Varese have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tortona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Varese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 934:983. (average 84.9:89.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 414:409. (average 82.8:81.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Derthona Basket Tortona?
Varese has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derthona Basket Tortona won against Varese?
Derthona Basket Tortona has won 8 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona were as follows:
09.11.2025
Derthona Basket Tortona
-
Varese
90:87
06.09.2025
Derthona Basket Tortona
-
Varese
98:78
09.03.2025
Derthona Basket Tortona
-
Varese
89:82
06.10.2024
Varese
-
Derthona Basket Tortona
95:105
24.03.2024
Derthona Basket Tortona
-
Varese
90:83
Latest results of Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 23 | 18 | 5 | 1977:1825 | 36 |
| 2 | Brescia | 23 | 18 | 5 | 2056:1937 | 36 |
| 3 | Venezia | 23 | 17 | 6 | 2079:1957 | 34 |
| 4 | Olimpia Milano | 24 | 17 | 7 | 2059:1903 | 34 |
| 5 | Tortona | 23 | 14 | 9 | 2011:1974 | 28 |
| 6 | Trieste | 23 | 12 | 11 | 1931:2012 | 24 |
| 7 | Reggiana | 23 | 11 | 12 | 1905:1858 | 22 |
| 8 | Trento | 23 | 10 | 13 | 1978:1951 | 20 |
| 9 | Varese | 24 | 10 | 14 | 1999:2091 | 20 |
| 10 | Cremona | 24 | 10 | 14 | 1972:2022 | 20 |
| 11 | Udine | 23 | 9 | 14 | 1893:1902 | 18 |
| 12 | Basket Napoli | 23 | 8 | 15 | 1919:1992 | 16 |
| 13 | Cantu | 24 | 8 | 16 | 2035:2126 | 16 |
| 14 | Sassari | 24 | 7 | 17 | 2060:2160 | 14 |
| 15 | Treviso | 23 | 6 | 17 | 1921:2085 | 12 |
| 16 | Trapani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
