Derthona Basket Tortona vs Varese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Italian Lega A Basketball Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese
Result
89:82 OT
09/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Lega A - Round 21
  • Referee: Dionisi A. (Ita)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7577
Field Goals Made
2929
Field Goals %
38.7%37.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3443
2-Point Field Goals Made
1818
2-Point Field Goals %
52.9%41.9%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
4134
3-Point Field Goals Made
1111
3-Point Field Goals %
26.8%32.4%
Free Throws Attempted
2317
Free Throws Made
2013
Free Throws %
87%76.5%
Offensive Rebounds
2214
Defensive Rebounds
3124
Total Rebounds
5338
Assists
2016
Blocks
810
Turnovers
1410
Steals
58
Personal Fouls
2222

Chances of winning


Derthona Basket Tortona
78.2%
Varese
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derthona Basket Tortona's performance.
  • Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derthona Basket Tortona that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.31)

    4.35
    (3.39)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 177.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tortona won 5.
    • Recent matches Tortona is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Varese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Varese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Tortona is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Tortona won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 706:687 (average 88.3:85.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tortona won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 297:273 (average 99:91).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona 95:105
    24.03.2024 Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese 90:83
    15.10.2023 Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona 78:80
    05.02.2023 Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese 103:91
    02.01.2023 Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona 88:89
    Latest results of Derthona Basket Tortona
    Latest results of Varese
    02.03.2025 Trapani - Varese 106:93
    09.02.2025 Varese - Basket Trento 79:92
    02.02.2025 Olimpia Milano - Varese 119:92
    25.01.2025 Varese - Basket Brescia 77:118
    19.01.2025 Pistoia Basket - Varese 111:96
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Virtus Bologna (1)Venezia (8)3 : 2
    2Trento (4)Olimpia Milano (5)1 : 3
    3Trapani (2)Reggiana (7)3 : 0
    4Brescia (3)Trieste (6)3 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Virtus Bologna (1)Olimpia Milano (5)3 : 1
    2Trapani (2)Brescia (3)0 : 3

    Final
    1Virtus Bologna (1)Brescia (3)3 : 0