Cincinnati 2 vs Philadelphia Union II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Cincinnati 2 - Philadelphia Union II
Result
1:2
31/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.562.58
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1424
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
76% (377/495)70% (230/328)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.562.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.611.97
Total shots
1424
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
815
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2234
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
76% (377/495)70% (230/328)
Long passes
46% (30/65)29% (17/59)
Passes in final third
61% (84/137)70% (104/148)
Crosses
42% (5/12)50% (6/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.72
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1111
Tackles
76% (13/17)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6149
Clearances
2126
Interceptions
918
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
1.970.61
Goals prevented
-0.03-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Chirila A. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Pierre N. , Sullivan C. (A),
  • 38', 0 - 2, Davis E. , Sullivan C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Chirila A. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Ikoba T. ,
  • 60', Mangione P. , Ramos Y. ,
  • 64', Davis E. , Olivas S. ,
  • 64', LeBlanc K. , Korzeniowski S. ,
  • 70', Mboma K. , Caicedo Y. ,
  • 70', Locker C. , Opeyemi M. ,
  • 72', Probst N. , Sequera G. ,
  • 82', Korzeniowski S. 🟨,
  • 85', Anderson M. 🟨,
  • 88', Anderson M. , Ferreira W. ,
  • 88', Sullivan C. , Jakupovic M. ,
  • 88', del Valle Y. , Cardenas J. ,
  • 90+2', Marks G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati 2
27.1%
Draw
23.9%
Philadelphia Union II
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.9% 25.4% 50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9% 24.3% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Cincinnati 2 - Philadelphia Union II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.82)
    3.85
    (3.59)
    1.88
    (1.81)
    8.6%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 3.
    • Recent performances by Cincinnati 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Philadelphia II is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cincinnati 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Philadelphia II could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - Philadelphia Union II were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Philadelphia Union II - Cincinnati 2 1:0
    03.06.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Philadelphia Union II 1:4
    02.08.2024 Philadelphia Union II - Cincinnati 2 0:1
    06.06.2024 Philadelphia Union II - Cincinnati 2 0:2
    28.04.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Philadelphia Union II 3:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2251622564:5254
    2Philadelphia Union II251253553:2849
    3New England Revolution II241252545:3048
    4Chicago Fire II241242658:4046
    5Toronto FC II2510141032:3836
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2245701227:3529
    8Columbus Crew 2255131634:5720


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga241143639:3544
    2Huntsville251142848:3143
    3Carolina Core25844939:3836
    4Orlando City B249221133:4633
    5Atlanta United 224726937:3931
    6Crown Legacy266351244:5329
    7Inter Miami II246041435:6122


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC241242652:3246
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 22511311057:4640
    3Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    4Ventura County241024845:4238
    5Los Angeles FC II259211343:5332
    6Portland Timbers 2258241142:4932
    7Tacoma Defiance247221353:6127


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2251641456:3357
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2251024939:3838
    4Austin FC II25935831:3138
    5North Texas249411037:4836
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ 251622564:5254
    2Philadelphia Union II ✔ 251253553:2849
    3New England Revolution II ✔ 241252545:3048
    4Chicago Fire II ✔ 241242658:4046
    5Chattanooga241143639:3544
    6Huntsville251142848:3143
    7Toronto FC II2510141032:3836
    8Carolina Core25844939:3836
    9Orlando City B249221133:4633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 224726937:3931
    12Crown Legacy266351244:5329
    13Cincinnati 2245701227:3529
    14Inter Miami II246041435:6122
    15Columbus Crew 2255131634:5720


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2 ✔ 251641456:3357
    2Town FC241242652:3246
    3Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 22511311057:4640
    5Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    6Ventura County241024845:4238
    7Minnesota 2251024939:3838
    8Austin FC II25935831:3138
    9North Texas249411037:4836
    10Los Angeles FC II259211343:5332
    11Portland Timbers 2258241142:4932
    12Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    13Tacoma Defiance247221353:6127
    14Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)