Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.68
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
13	15
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	10
Passes
88% (371/423)	87% (403/464)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	0.62
Total shots
13	15
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
3	7
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
7	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	10
Touches in opposition box
13	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
13	8
Passes
88% (371/423)	87% (403/464)
Long passes
65% (34/52)	63% (31/49)
Passes in final third
74% (56/76)	80% (135/169)
Crosses
0% (0/7)	13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	0.75
Throw-ins
13	16
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
47% (8/17)	57% (12/21)
Duels won
51	42
Clearances
36	11
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.62	1.33
Goals prevented
-0.38	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Evander ⚽, Orellano L. (A),
45+2', Engel L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Denkey K. ⚽, Evander (A), Kamara K. (A2)
53', Kamara K. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ⚽, Gutman A. (A), Bamba J. (A2)
68', Kamara K. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
73', Orellano L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
73', Barroso L. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
73', Gutierrez B. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
76', Bamba J. 🟨,
83', Oregel S. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
83', Bamba J. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
90', Evander ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
90', Denkey K. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
90+4', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Williams S. ↑,
90+7', Elliott J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cincinnati
50.3%

Draw
22.7%

Chicago Fire
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

21%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

20.2%

19.9%

Cincinnati - Chicago Fire Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.64)	4.17 ↓ (4.54)	3.54 ↓ (4.61)	5.5% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Chicago Fire?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Chicago (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Chicago (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cincinnati (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cincinnati will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Chicago (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
Cincinnati is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Chicago's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cincinnati might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Injury) Orellano L. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Chicago: Brady C. (International duty) Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Sergio Santos (Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Gasper C. (Injury) Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Reynolds J. (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Chicago Fire?

Cincinnati has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Cincinnati?

Chicago Fire has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Chicago Fire were as follows:

19.04.2025 Chicago Fire - Cincinnati 2:3

17.07.2024 Cincinnati - Chicago Fire 0:1

02.03.2024 Chicago Fire - Cincinnati 1:2

03.06.2023 Cincinnati - Chicago Fire 1:0

18.03.2023 Chicago Fire - Cincinnati 3:3

Latest results of Cincinnati

25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3 ✺

14.06.2025 New England Revolution - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Cincinnati - DC United 1:2 ✺

28.05.2025 Cincinnati - FC Dallas 3:3 ✺

25.05.2025 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Chicago Fire

25.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 0:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Nashville SC 0:2 ✺

07.06.2025 DC United - Chicago Fire 1:7 ✺

31.05.2025 Orlando City - Chicago Fire 1:3 ✺

25.05.2025 New York City - Chicago Fire 3:1 ✺

MLS Table

2026

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Dallas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Houston Dynamo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Real Salt Lake	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	San Jose Earthquakes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Colorado Rapids	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sporting Kansas City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Seattle Sounders	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Portland Timbers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vancouver Whitecaps	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Minnesota United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Los Angeles FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Austin FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Louis City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	New England Revolution	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	DC United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Toronto FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	New York Red Bulls	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Columbus Crew	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Chicago Fire	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	CF Montreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Philadelphia Union	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Orlando City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	New York City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Cincinnati	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atlanta Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Nashville SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Inter Miami	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Charlotte	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)