Result
2:3
31/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Leagues Cup - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.07 | 2.08 |
Ball Possession |
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60% | 40% |
Total shots |
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11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
86% (494/573) | 85% (342/404) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.07 | 2.08 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.29 | 1.82 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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21 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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7 | 11 |
Passes |
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86% (494/573) | 85% (342/404) |
Long passes |
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58% (26/45) | 39% (17/44) |
Passes in final third |
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73% (122/168) | 74% (67/91) |
Crosses |
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20% (6/30) | 43% (3/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.93 | 0.92 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 13 |
Fouls |
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11 | 7 |
Tackles |
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75% (6/8) | 79% (11/14) |
Duels won |
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32 | 51 |
Clearances |
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6 | 47 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.82 | 1.29 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.18 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽, Valenzuela G. (A),
- 33', Arteaga G. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Canales S. ⚽, Medina S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Sergio Santos ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Orellano L. ⚽, Evander (A),
- 67', Medina S. ↓, Ocampos L. ↑,
- 74', Ambriz F. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 76', Valenzuela G. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 79', Miazga M. 🟨,
- 85', Orellano L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
- 87', Ocampos L. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 3, Bucha P. ⚽, Evander (A),
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Berterame G. ⚽, Moxica J. (A),
Chances of winning
Monterrey 40.1% | Draw 26.4% | Cincinnati 33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-2%)
Monterrey - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↓ (2.4) |
3.51 ↓ (3.54) |
2.75 ↓ (2.77) |
7.5% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Monterrey has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cincinnati is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Monterrey has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Monterrey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Cincinnati?
Monterrey has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Monterrey?
Cincinnati has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Cincinnati were as follows:
14.03.2024
Monterrey
-
Cincinnati
2:1
07.03.2024
Cincinnati
-
Monterrey
0:1
Latest results of Monterrey
Latest results of Cincinnati
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Pachuca | 2 : 1 |
2 | Seattle Sounders | Puebla | 1 : 0 |
3 | Inter Miami | Tigres UANL | 2 : 1 |
4 | Toluca | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Seattle Sounders | |
2 | Inter Miami | Orlando City | |
Final3rd place