Monterrey vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football CONCACAF League Cup Monterrey - Cincinnati
Result
2:3
31/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Leagues Cup - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.072.08
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
86% (494/573)85% (342/404)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.072.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.82
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2122
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
711
Passes
86% (494/573)85% (342/404)
Long passes
58% (26/45)39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
73% (122/168)74% (67/91)
Crosses
20% (6/30)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.92
Throw-ins
2313
Fouls
117
Tackles
75% (6/8)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3251
Clearances
647
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.821.29
Goals prevented
-1.18-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Evander , Valenzuela G. (A),
  • 33', Arteaga G. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Canales S. , Medina S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Sergio Santos , Kamara K. ,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Orellano L. , Evander (A),
  • 67', Medina S. , Ocampos L. ,
  • 74', Ambriz F. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 76', Valenzuela G. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 79', Miazga M. 🟨,
  • 85', Orellano L. , Smith B. ,
  • 87', Ocampos L. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Bucha P. , Evander (A),
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Berterame G. , Moxica J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monterrey
40.1%
Draw
26.4%
Cincinnati
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 26.6% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 28.7% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Monterrey - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.4)
    3.51
    (3.54)
    2.75
    (2.77)
    7.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Monterrey - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Monterrey has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cincinnati is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Monterrey has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Monterrey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Cincinnati were as follows:
    14.03.2024 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:1
    07.03.2024 Cincinnati - Monterrey 0:1
    Latest results of Monterrey
    26.07.2025 Monterrey - Atlas 3:1
    13.07.2025 Pachuca - Monterrey 3:0
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    16.07.2025 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:0
    12.07.2025 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 2:4
    05.07.2025 Cincinnati - Chicago Fire 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Los Angeles GalaxyPachuca2 : 1
    2Seattle SoundersPuebla1 : 0
    3Inter MiamiTigres UANL2 : 1
    4TolucaOrlando City0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Los Angeles GalaxySeattle Sounders
    2Inter MiamiOrlando City

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place