Result
2:3
31/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Leagues Cup - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (494/573) | 85% (342/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (494/573) | 85% (342/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (26/45) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (122/168) | 74% (67/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽, Valenzuela G. (A),
- 33', Arteaga G. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Canales S. ⚽, Medina S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Sergio Santos ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Orellano L. ⚽, Evander (A),
- 67', Medina S. ↓, Ocampos L. ↑,
- 74', Ambriz F. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 76', Valenzuela G. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 79', Miazga M. 🟨,
- 85', Orellano L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
- 87', Ocampos L. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 3, Bucha P. ⚽, Evander (A),
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Berterame G. ⚽, Moxica J. (A),
Chances of winning
Monterrey
40.1% | Draw
26.4% | Cincinnati
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-2%)
Monterrey - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.4) |
3.51 ↓
(3.54) |
2.75 ↓
(2.77) |
7.5%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Monterrey has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cincinnati is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Monterrey has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Monterrey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Cincinnati?
Monterrey has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Monterrey?
Cincinnati has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Cincinnati were as follows:
14.03.2024
Monterrey
-
Cincinnati
2:1
07.03.2024
Cincinnati
-
Monterrey
0:1
Latest results of Monterrey
Latest results of Cincinnati
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Pachuca | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Seattle Sounders | Puebla | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Tigres UANL | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Toluca | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Seattle Sounders | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Seattle Sounders | Inter Miami | 3 : 0 |
3rd place| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Orlando City | 2 : 1 |
