Monterrey vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH).

Leagues Cup - Round 1
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.07	2.08
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
86% (494/573)	85% (342/404)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07	2.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	1.82
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
6	8
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
21	22
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
7	11
Passes
86% (494/573)	85% (342/404)
Long passes
58% (26/45)	39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
73% (122/168)	74% (67/91)
Crosses
20% (6/30)	43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.93	0.92
Throw-ins
23	13
Fouls
11	7
Tackles
75% (6/8)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
32	51
Clearances
6	47
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.82	1.29
Goals prevented
-1.18	-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽, Valenzuela G. (A),
33', Arteaga G. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Canales S. ⚽, Medina S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sergio Santos ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Orellano L. ⚽, Evander (A),
67', Medina S. ↓, Ocampos L. ↑,
74', Ambriz F. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
76', Valenzuela G. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
79', Miazga M. 🟨,
85', Orellano L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
87', Ocampos L. 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, Bucha P. ⚽, Evander (A),
90+4', 2 - 3, Berterame G. ⚽, Moxica J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Monterrey
40.1%

Draw
26.4%

Cincinnati
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-2%)

Monterrey - Cincinnati Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.4)	3.51 ↓ (3.54)	2.75 ↓ (2.77)	7.5% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Monterrey - Cincinnati?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 16.1% – 74.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In recent matches, Monterrey has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cincinnati is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Monterrey has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Monterrey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Cincinnati?

Monterrey has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Monterrey?

Cincinnati has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Cincinnati were as follows:

14.03.2024 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:1

07.03.2024 Cincinnati - Monterrey 0:1

Latest results of Monterrey

26.07.2025 Monterrey - Atlas 3:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Atlético San Luis - Monterrey 0:1 ✺

13.07.2025 Pachuca - Monterrey 3:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey 2:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Monterrey 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Cincinnati

26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 2:4 ✺

05.07.2025 Cincinnati - Chicago Fire 2:1 ✺

CONCACAF League Cup Table

2025

Liga MX

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Tigres UANL	2	2	0	0	0	6:2	6
2	Mazatlan FC	2	1	1	0	0	3:1	5
3	Toluca	2	1	1	0	0	4:3	5
4	UNAM Pumas	2	1	1	0	0	4:3	5
5	Necaxa	2	1	0	1	0	5:3	4
6	Pachuca	2	1	0	1	0	4:3	4
7	Juarez	1	1	0	0	0	4:1	3
8	Puebla	2	1	0	0	1	4:3	3
9	Club America	2	0	1	1	0	5:5	3
10	Atl. San Luis	2	0	1	0	1	2:6	2
11	Club Leon	2	0	0	1	1	1:3	1
12	Santos Laguna	1	0	0	0	1	1:2	0
13	Monterrey	1	0	0	0	1	2:3	0
14	Guadalajara Chivas	1	0	0	0	1	0:1	0
15	Atlas	2	0	0	0	2	2:5	0
16	Club Tijuana	1	0	0	0	1	2:5	0
17	Queretaro	2	0	0	0	2	1:5	0
18	Cruz Azul	1	0	0	0	1	0:7	0

MLS

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Portland Timbers	2	2	0	0	0	5:0	6
2	Inter Miami	2	1	1	0	0	4:3	5
3	Minnesota United	2	1	0	1	0	7:4	4
4	Columbus Crew	2	1	0	1	0	5:3	4
5	Orlando City	2	1	0	1	0	4:2	4
6	Seattle Sounders	1	1	0	0	0	7:0	3
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	1	1	0	0	0	5:2	3
8	New York Red Bulls	1	1	0	0	0	1:0	3
9	Colorado Rapids	1	1	0	0	0	2:1	3
10	FC Cincinnati	1	1	0	0	0	3:2	3
11	Real Salt Lake	2	0	1	1	0	4:4	3
12	Los Angeles FC	2	0	1	1	0	2:2	3
13	New York City	2	1	0	0	1	2:3	3
14	CF Montreal	2	0	1	0	1	2:3	2
15	San Diego FC	2	0	0	0	2	3:5	0
16	Atlanta Utd	2	0	0	0	2	3:6	0
17	Charlotte	1	0	0	0	1	1:4	0
18	Houston Dynamo	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Promotion ~ Leagues Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)