Result
1:3
18/04/2026 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (401/472) | 80% (319/397) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (401/472) | 80% (319/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (35/58) | 43% (29/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (90/132) | 67% (60/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Ocampos L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', Medina S. 🟨,
- 26', Rondon S. 🟨,
- 28', Eduardo Bauermann 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Montiel E. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Kenedy ⚽,
- 64', Corona J. ↓, Canales S. ↑,
- 64', Idrissi O. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
- 70', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 2, Bautista A. ⚽, Dominguez A. (A),
- 76', Rondon S. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 76', Ocampos L. 🟨,
- 78', Orellano L. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 78', Reyes L. ↓, Arteaga G. ↑,
- 79', Ocampos L. ↓, Djurdjevic U. ↑,
- 80', Guzman V. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 3, Valencia E. ⚽, Rivera C. (A),
- 87', Kenedy ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monterrey
38.8% | Draw
26.5% | Pachuca
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Monterrey - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.28) |
3.56 ↑
(3.35) |
2.7 ↓
(2.78) |
6.1%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Pachuca will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2.
- Monterrey has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pachuca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Monterrey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Fimbres I.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Mozo A.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Monterrey: Rodriguez J.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Pachuca?
Monterrey has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Monterrey?
Pachuca has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Pachuca were as follows:
13.07.2025
Pachuca
-
Monterrey
3:0
27.04.2025
Monterrey
-
Pachuca
1:2
25.01.2025
Monterrey
-
Pachuca
2:3
07.07.2024
Pachuca
-
Monterrey
0:1
10.02.2024
Monterrey
-
Pachuca
3:2
Latest results of Monterrey
Latest results of Pachuca
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | UNAM Pumas (1) | Club America (8) | |
| 2 | Pachuca (4) | Toluca (5) | |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas (2) | Tigres UANL (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Atlas (6) | 3 : 2 |
