Cittadella vs Triestina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Cittadella - Triestina
12/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Cittadella
43.8%
Draw
29.3%
Triestina
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 28% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 28.9% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Triestina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Cittadella - Triestina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.3)
    3.11
    (3.25)
    3.63
    (2.8)
    8.8%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Cittadella has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Triestina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Triestina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cittadella might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Cittadella
    04.10.2025 Renate - Cittadella 0:0
    29.09.2025 Cittadella - Pro Patria 0:0
    25.09.2025 Cittadella - Lumezzane 0:1
    21.09.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Cittadella 2:1
    Latest results of Triestina
    05.10.2025 Novara - Triestina 0:0
    28.09.2025 Triestina - Renate 3:0
    25.09.2025 Inter U23 - Triestina 2:0
    13.09.2025 Lumezzane - Triestina 1:2
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza871016:21422
    2Lecco853013:5818
    3Brescia843115:51015
    4Inter U23843113:8515
    5Alcione Milano84228:5314
    6Pro Vercelli840410:13-312
    7AlbinoLeffe833215:12312
    8Pergolettese83239:9011
    9Virtus Verona824213:11210
    10Giana Erminio82336:10-49
    11Arzignano823310:12-29
    12Renate82338:12-49
    13Trento815210:12-28
    14Dolomiti Bellunesi81438:15-77
    15Lumezzane82068:15-76
    16Novara80626:8-26
    17Cittadella81344:8-46
    18Ospitaletto81347:11-46
    19Pro Patria80447:15-84
    20Triestina83329:72-8

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation