Result
0:1
24/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 11
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (543/620) | 81% (302/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (543/620) | 81% (302/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (28/45) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (94/131) | 68% (54/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Gomis D. 🟨,
- 39', Konate C. O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 1, Fakili I. ⚽, Gastien J. (A),
- 53', Sagna A. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
- 53', Hatchi J. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 60', Astic J. ↓, Hunou A. ↑,
- 64', Gastien J. 🟨,
- 66', Sissoko A. 🟨,
- 69', Gastien J. ↓, Saivet H. ↑,
- 69', Fakili I. ↓, Bamba K. ↑,
- 71', Louiserre D. ↓, N'Landu D. ↑,
- 71', Koffi E. ↓, Demouchy A. ↑,
- 77', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 85', Ackra A. 🟨,
- 86', Camblan A. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
- 86', Boto K. ↓, Nsimba V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guingamp
55.8% | Draw
24.8% | Clermont
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Guingamp - Clermont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.72) |
3.77 ↑
(3.68) |
4.78 ↑
(4.32) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Clermont?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Clermont will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Guingamp (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Clermont (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Clermont will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Clermont (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 1.
- Guingamp has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Clermont is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Guingamp is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Mbemba F.
(Inactive)
Nair S.
(Ankle Injury)
Ortola A.
(Elbow Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Clermont: Astic J.
(Injury)
Diedhiou F.
(Inactive)
Donavin M.
(Inactive)
Douane M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Clermont?
Guingamp has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Guingamp?
Clermont has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Clermont were as follows:
07.03.2025
Guingamp
-
Clermont
3:1
05.10.2024
Clermont
-
Guingamp
4:1
Latest results of Guingamp
Latest results of Clermont
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
