Guingamp vs Clermont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp).

Ligue 2 - Round 11
Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.71	0.43
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
21	4
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
88% (543/620)	81% (302/373)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.24	0.32
Total shots
21	4
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
11	1
Shots inside the Box
12	2
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
27	8
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
88% (543/620)	81% (302/373)
Long passes
62% (28/45)	42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
72% (94/131)	68% (54/80)
Crosses
19% (7/37)	0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.59
Throw-ins
23	16
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
60% (6/10)	50% (6/12)
Duels won
44	36
Clearances
17	38
Interceptions
12	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.32	0.24
Goals prevented
-0.68	0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Gomis D. 🟨,
39', Konate C. O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Fakili I. ⚽, Gastien J. (A),
53', Sagna A. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
53', Hatchi J. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
60', Astic J. ↓, Hunou A. ↑,
64', Gastien J. 🟨,
66', Sissoko A. 🟨,
69', Gastien J. ↓, Saivet H. ↑,
69', Fakili I. ↓, Bamba K. ↑,
71', Louiserre D. ↓, N'Landu D. ↑,
71', Koffi E. ↓, Demouchy A. ↑,
77', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
85', Ackra A. 🟨,
86', Camblan A. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
86', Boto K. ↓, Nsimba V. ↑,

Chances of winning

Guingamp
55.8%

Draw
24.8%

Clermont
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.1%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Guingamp - Clermont Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	3.77 ↑ (3.68)	4.78 ↑ (4.32)	6.4% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Guingamp - Clermont?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Clermont will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Guingamp (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Clermont (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Clermont will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Clermont (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 1.
Guingamp has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Clermont is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Guingamp is the team to beat.
There will not play in Guingamp: Mbemba F. (Inactive) Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)
There will not play in Clermont: Astic J. (Injury) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Clermont?

Guingamp has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Guingamp?

Clermont has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Clermont were as follows:

07.03.2025 Guingamp - Clermont 3:1

05.10.2024 Clermont - Guingamp 4:1

Latest results of Guingamp

17.10.2025 Boulogne - Guingamp 2:2 ✺

03.10.2025 Guingamp - Nancy 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 2:3 ✺

23.09.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 5:2 ✺

Latest results of Clermont

17.10.2025 Clermont - Annecy 0:1 ✺

03.10.2025 Pau - Clermont 3:1 ✺

26.09.2025 Clermont - Le Mans 1:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Reims - Clermont 4:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Rodez - Clermont 0:1 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	27	16	6	5	44:27	17	54
2	St Etienne	27	15	5	7	46:29	17	50
3	Le Mans	27	12	11	4	37:26	11	47
4	Red Star	27	12	8	7	31:27	4	44
5	Reims	27	11	10	6	39:26	13	43
6	Rodez	27	11	10	6	34:32	2	43
7	Montpellier	27	12	5	10	33:25	8	41
8	Dunkerque	27	10	9	8	42:29	13	39
9	Annecy	27	11	6	10	35:30	5	39
10	Guingamp	27	10	9	8	38:38	0	39
11	Pau FC	27	10	8	9	40:44	-4	38
12	Boulogne	27	9	6	12	30:38	-8	33
13	Grenoble	27	6	12	9	24:30	-6	30
14	Clermont	27	7	7	13	30:36	-6	28
15	Nancy	27	7	6	14	24:40	-16	27
16	Amiens	27	6	5	16	30:46	-16	23
17	Laval	27	3	11	13	21:39	-18	20
18	Bastia	27	3	10	14	14:30	-16	19

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National