Result
1:0
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (409/481) | 79% (279/353) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.62 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (409/481) | 79% (279/353) |
| Long passes |
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| 53% (19/36) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 67% (88/132) | 68% (48/71) |
| Crosses |
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| 21% (6/28) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.70 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
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| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
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| 24 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 56% (9/16) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 59 |
| Clearances |
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| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.18 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.18 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Kone E. H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Gueye D. ⚽, Bourabaa A. (A),
- 64', Kone E. H. ↓, Camblan A. ↑,
- 65', Gastien J. ↓, Saivet H. ↑,
- 68', Bourabaa A. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
- 68', Gueye D. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
- 73', Bamba K. ↓, Cantero E. ↑,
- 73', Fakili I. ↓, Douane M. ↑,
- 76', Robin M. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
- 76', Rabillard A. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
- 81', Boisse N. 🟨,
- 84', Boisse N. ↓, Eyoum T. ↑,
- 85', Coulibaly I. ↓, Hunou A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Le Mans 58.1% | Draw 23.7% | Clermont 18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Mans's performance.Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Le Mans - Clermont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.76) |
3.99 ↑ (3.6) |
5.1 ↑ (4.37) |
6.7% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Clermont?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Le Mans (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Le Mans will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Le Mans will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 14).
- Le Mans is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Clermont is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Clermont has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Le Mans is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Le Mans: Cossier I.
(Yellow Cards)
Eyoum T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Rossignol M.
(Inactive)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Clermont: Bamba K.
(Injury)
Donavin M.
(Inactive)
Tourraine M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Le Mans will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Clermont?
Le Mans has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Le Mans?
Clermont has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Clermont were as follows:
26.09.2025
Clermont
-
Le Mans
1:1
Latest results of Le Mans
Latest results of Clermont
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 47:30 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:36 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 54 |
| 5 | Reims | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rodez | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 39:28 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Annecy | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:54 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Clermont | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Nancy | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Laval | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 28:43 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22:37 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Amiens | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 36:57 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National