Le Mans vs Clermont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 31
  • Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.840.50
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
61
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
64
Passes
85% (409/481)79% (279/353)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.840.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.620.18
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
15
Blocked shots
64
Shots inside the box
86
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
824
Passes
85% (409/481)79% (279/353)
Long passes
53% (19/36)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
67% (88/132)68% (48/71)
Crosses
21% (6/28)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.49
Throw ins
1921
Fouls
248
Tackles
56% (9/16)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3159
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.181.62
Goals prevented
0.180.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Kone E. H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Gueye D. , Bourabaa A. (A),
  • 64', Kone E. H. , Camblan A. ,
  • 65', Gastien J. , Saivet H. ,
  • 68', Bourabaa A. , Quarshie E. ,
  • 68', Gueye D. , Colas E. ,
  • 73', Bamba K. , Cantero E. ,
  • 73', Fakili I. , Douane M. ,
  • 76', Robin M. , Lauray A. ,
  • 76', Rabillard A. , Harhouz W. ,
  • 81', Boisse N. 🟨,
  • 84', Boisse N. , Eyoum T. ,
  • 85', Coulibaly I. , Hunou A. ,

Chances of winning


Le Mans
58.1%
Draw
23.7%
Clermont
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25.8% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 24.7% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Mans's performance.
  • Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Le Mans - Clermont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.76)
    3.99
    (3.6)
    5.1
    (4.37)
    6.7%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Le Mans - Clermont?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Le Mans (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.42%98.24%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Le Mans will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 14).
    • Le Mans is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Clermont is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Clermont has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Le Mans is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Cossier I. (Yellow Cards) Eyoum T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Rossignol M. (Inactive) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Clermont: Bamba K. (Injury) Donavin M. (Inactive) Tourraine M. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Le Mans will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Clermont were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Clermont - Le Mans 1:1
    Latest results of Le Mans
    11.04.2026 Boulogne - Le Mans 0:0
    06.04.2026 Le Mans - Pau 4:0
    20.03.2026 Amiens - Le Mans 3:4
    13.03.2026 Nancy - Le Mans 2:4
    07.03.2026 Le Mans - Annecy 3:0
    Latest results of Clermont
    10.04.2026 Clermont - Nancy 2:2
    03.04.2026 Grenoble - Clermont 2:2
    27.03.2026 Clermont - Le Puy 0:0
    20.03.2026 Clermont - Red Star 0:1
    13.03.2026 Clermont - Pau 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes32197656:322464
    2Le Mans321513447:301758
    3St Etienne32176953:361757
    4Red Star32159841:35654
    5Reims321313647:311652
    6Rodez321313641:37452
    7Montpellier321481039:281150
    8Annecy321471146:361049
    9Pau FC321291144:54-1045
    10Dunkerque3211101151:411043
    11Guingamp3210101242:47-540
    12Boulogne32991432:45-1336
    13Grenoble326151131:39-833
    14Clermont327101535:43-831
    15Nancy327101529:49-2031
    16Laval325141328:43-1529
    17Bastia324131522:37-1525
    18Amiens32662036:57-2124

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National