Guingamp vs Clermont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
24/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 11
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.43
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
214
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
88% (543/620)81% (302/373)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.32
Total shots
214
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
278
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
88% (543/620)81% (302/373)
Long passes
62% (28/45)42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
72% (94/131)68% (54/80)
Crosses
19% (7/37)0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.59
Throw-ins
2316
Fouls
1011
Tackles
60% (6/10)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
1738
Interceptions
1214
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.320.24
Goals prevented
-0.680.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Gomis D. 🟨,
  • 39', Konate C. O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Fakili I. , Gastien J. (A),
  • 53', Sagna A. , Ott G. ,
  • 53', Hatchi J. , Kielt S. ,
  • 60', Astic J. , Hunou A. ,
  • 64', Gastien J. 🟨,
  • 66', Sissoko A. 🟨,
  • 69', Gastien J. , Saivet H. ,
  • 69', Fakili I. , Bamba K. ,
  • 71', Louiserre D. , N'Landu D. ,
  • 71', Koffi E. , Demouchy A. ,
  • 77', Sidibe K. , Ahile T. ,
  • 85', Ackra A. 🟨,
  • 86', Camblan A. , Diop O. ,
  • 86', Boto K. , Nsimba V. ,

Chances of winning


Guingamp
55.8%
Draw
24.8%
Clermont
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 25.1% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 24.6% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Guingamp - Clermont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.72)
    3.77
    (3.68)
    4.78
    (4.32)
    6.4%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Guingamp - Clermont?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Clermont will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Guingamp (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Clermont (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Clermont will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Clermont (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 1.
    • Guingamp has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Clermont is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Guingamp is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Mbemba F. (Inactive) Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Clermont: Astic J. (Injury) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Clermont were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Guingamp - Clermont 3:1
    05.10.2024 Clermont - Guingamp 4:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    17.10.2025 Boulogne - Guingamp 2:2
    03.10.2025 Guingamp - Nancy 2:2
    27.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 2:3
    23.09.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 2:1
    20.09.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 5:2
    Latest results of Clermont
    17.10.2025 Clermont - Annecy 0:1
    03.10.2025 Pau - Clermont 3:1
    26.09.2025 Clermont - Le Mans 1:1
    23.09.2025 Reims - Clermont 4:1
    19.09.2025 Rodez - Clermont 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes32197656:322464
    2Le Mans321513447:301758
    3St Etienne32176953:361757
    4Red Star32159841:35654
    5Reims321313647:311652
    6Rodez321313641:37452
    7Montpellier321481039:281150
    8Annecy321471146:361049
    9Pau FC321291144:54-1045
    10Dunkerque3211101151:411043
    11Guingamp3210101242:47-540
    12Boulogne32991432:45-1336
    13Grenoble326151131:39-833
    14Clermont327101535:43-831
    15Nancy327101529:49-2031
    16Laval325141328:43-1529
    17Bastia324131522:37-1525
    18Amiens32662036:57-2124

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National