Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 3.05 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 24 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
79% (318/401) | 81% (350/433) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 3.05 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.98 | 3.92 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 24 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 20 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 13 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 46 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
79% (318/401) | 81% (350/433) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (34/74) | 61% (37/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (40/75) | 68% (96/142) |
Crosses |
---|
44% (4/9) | 39% (16/41) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.72 | 2.53 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (9/12) | 75% (15/20) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
18 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.92 | 0.98 |
Goals prevented |
---|
2.92 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Socka Bongue L. ⚽, Camblan A. (A),
- 28', Guivarch T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Guillaume B. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
- 57', Abanda L. ↓, Calodat L. ↑,
- 57', Harhouz W. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
- 61', Fakili I. ↓, Gastien J. ↑,
- 65', Rossignol M. 🟨,
- 66', Socka Bongue L. ↓, Said A. ↑,
- 66', Bamba K. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
- 67', Rossignol M. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
- 67', Robin M. ↓, Vercruysse J. ↑,
- 71', Buades L. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 1, Vercruysse J. ⚽, Buades L. (A),
- 83', Konate C. O. ↓, Coulibaly I. ↑,
- 84', Baallal A. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
- 90+1', Gastien J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Clermont 40.5% | Draw 31.8% | Le Mans 27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Mans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Clermont - Le Mans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 ↑ (2.41) |
3.2 ↓ (3.34) |
3.83 ↑ (2.96) |
-1.5% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Clermont - Le Mans?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Le Mans will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Clermont (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Clermont: Astic J.
(Injury)
Boto K.
(Inactive)
Diedhiou F.
(Inactive)
Donavin M.
(Inactive)
Douane M.
(Knee Injury)
Hunou A.
(Inactive)
Salmier Y.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Le Mans: Cisse A.
(Inactive)
Guillaume B.
(Inactive)
Luvambo T.
(Inactive)
Oggad B.
(Inactive)
Ribelin A.
(Inactive)
Voyer H.
(Red Card)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Le Mans?
Clermont has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Clermont?
Le Mans has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Clermont - Le Mans were as follows:
Latest results of Clermont
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
2 | St Etienne | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 20 |
3 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
9 | Montpellier | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National