Clermont vs Le Mans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Clermont - Le Mans
Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 8
  • Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.883.05
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
824
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
213
Passes
79% (318/401)81% (350/433)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.883.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.983.92
Total shots
824
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
69
Blocked Shots
08
Shots inside the Box
620
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
213
Touches in opposition box
1146
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
137
Passes
79% (318/401)81% (350/433)
Long passes
46% (34/74)61% (37/61)
Passes in final third
53% (40/75)68% (96/142)
Crosses
44% (4/9)39% (16/41)
Expected assists (xA)
0.722.53
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
713
Tackles
75% (9/12)75% (15/20)
Duels won
4346
Clearances
3124
Interceptions
1810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
3.920.98
Goals prevented
2.92-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Socka Bongue L. , Camblan A. (A),
  • 28', Guivarch T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Guillaume B. , Colas E. ,
  • 57', Abanda L. , Calodat L. ,
  • 57', Harhouz W. , Gueye D. ,
  • 61', Fakili I. , Gastien J. ,
  • 65', Rossignol M. 🟨,
  • 66', Socka Bongue L. , Said A. ,
  • 66', Bamba K. , Diop O. ,
  • 67', Rossignol M. , Quarshie E. ,
  • 67', Robin M. , Vercruysse J. ,
  • 71', Buades L. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Vercruysse J. , Buades L. (A),
  • 83', Konate C. O. , Coulibaly I. ,
  • 84', Baallal A. , Ackra A. ,
  • 90+1', Gastien J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Clermont
40.5%
Draw
31.8%
Le Mans
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 28.5% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 29.3% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Mans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Clermont - Le Mans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.41)
    3.2
    (3.34)
    3.83
    (2.96)
    -1.5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Clermont - Le Mans?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Le Mans will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Clermont (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Clermont: Astic J. (Injury) Boto K. (Inactive) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Hunou A. (Inactive) Salmier Y. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Cisse A. (Inactive) Guillaume B. (Inactive) Luvambo T. (Inactive) Oggad B. (Inactive) Ribelin A. (Inactive) Voyer H. (Red Card)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    Latest results of Clermont
    23.09.2025 Reims - Clermont 4:1
    19.09.2025 Rodez - Clermont 0:1
    13.09.2025 Clermont - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    29.08.2025 Laval - Clermont 0:0
    22.08.2025 Clermont - Grenoble 2:1
    Latest results of Le Mans
    23.09.2025 Le Mans - Grenoble 1:0
    19.09.2025 Dunkerque - Le Mans 2:2
    12.09.2025 Le Mans - Rodez 0:1
    30.08.2025 Reims - Le Mans 1:0
    22.08.2025 Le Mans - Bastia 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes962119:91020
    2St Etienne962119:10920
    3Pau FC962116:8820
    4Red Star952215:9617
    5Reims942314:13114
    6Guingamp942316:19-314
    7Nancy933310:11-112
    8Rodez93338:11-312
    9Montpellier93248:10-211
    10Dunkerque924316:14210
    11Le Mans924311:12-110
    12Clermont92439:13-410
    13Amiens923411:13-29
    14Grenoble923410:12-29
    15Annecy92349:12-39
    16Boulogne93067:11-49
    17Laval91537:11-48
    18Bastia90454:11-74

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National