Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 3.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (318/401) | 81% (350/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 3.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 3.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (318/401) | 81% (350/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (34/74) | 61% (37/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (40/75) | 68% (96/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 39% (16/41) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.92 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.92 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Socka Bongue L. ⚽, Camblan A. (A),
- 28', Guivarch T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Guillaume B. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
- 57', Abanda L. ↓, Calodat L. ↑,
- 57', Harhouz W. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
- 61', Fakili I. ↓, Gastien J. ↑,
- 65', Rossignol M. 🟨,
- 66', Socka Bongue L. ↓, Said A. ↑,
- 66', Bamba K. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
- 67', Rossignol M. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
- 67', Robin M. ↓, Vercruysse J. ↑,
- 71', Buades L. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 1, Vercruysse J. ⚽, Buades L. (A),
- 83', Konate C. O. ↓, Coulibaly I. ↑,
- 84', Baallal A. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
- 90+1', Gastien J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Clermont
40.5% | Draw
31.8% | Le Mans
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Mans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Clermont - Le Mans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.41) |
3.2 ↓
(3.34) |
3.83 ↑
(2.96) |
-1.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Clermont - Le Mans?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Le Mans will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Clermont (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Clermont: Astic J.
(Injury)
Boto K.
(Inactive)
Diedhiou F.
(Inactive)
Donavin M.
(Inactive)
Douane M.
(Knee Injury)
Hunou A.
(Inactive)
Salmier Y.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Le Mans: Cisse A.
(Inactive)
Guillaume B.
(Inactive)
Luvambo T.
(Inactive)
Oggad B.
(Inactive)
Ribelin A.
(Inactive)
Voyer H.
(Red Card)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Le Mans?
Clermont has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Clermont?
Le Mans has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Clermont - Le Mans were as follows:
Latest results of Clermont
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 44:27 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Red Star | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Reims | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Rodez | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 34:32 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:46 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 20 |
| 18 | Bastia | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
