Rodez vs Le Mans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez).

Ligue 2 - Round 19
Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.55	1.29
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
1	4
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
4	8
Passes
71% (228/321)	76% (292/385)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.55	1.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.84	1.85
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked shots
1	1
Shots inside the box
4	6
Shots outside the box
1	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
20	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
17	13
Passes
71% (228/321)	76% (292/385)
Long passes
33% (19/57)	44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
56% (50/90)	62% (88/141)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	11% (3/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.90
Throw ins
31	35
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
67% (6/9)	63% (17/27)
Duels won
42	57
Clearances
37	30
Interceptions
15	17
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	0
xGOT faced
1.85	0.84
Goals prevented
0.85	-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Rabillard A. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Trouillet A. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
63', Gueye D. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
63', Hamdi M. ↓, Calodat L. ↑,
74', Nagera K. ↓, Arconte T. ↑,
74', Mendes J. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
76', Quarshie E. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Balde I. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
85', Balde I. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,
86', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Laurent L. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Eyoum T. ⚽,
90+7', Yohou S. 🟨,
90+7', Arconte T. 🟨,
90+7', Kocik N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Rodez
34.2%

Draw
28.6%

Le Mans
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

29%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Le Mans have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Rodez - Le Mans Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	2.51 (2.51)	7.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rodez - Le Mans?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Le Mans will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rodez (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Le Mans (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Le Mans (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Rodez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Le Mans is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Le Mans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Rodez: Achi M. (Inactive) Baaloudj M. (Red Card) Ponti R. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Leg Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Le Mans: Bretelle L. (Inactive) Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Harhouz W. (Leg Injury) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury) Voyer H. (Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Le Mans?

Rodez has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Rodez?

Le Mans has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Le Mans were as follows:

12.09.2025 Le Mans - Rodez 0:1

Latest results of Rodez

03.01.2026 Pau - Rodez 3:3 ✺

12.12.2025 Rodez - Guingamp 2:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Troyes - Rodez 1:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Canet Roussillon - Rodez 1:0 ✺

21.11.2025 Rodez - Dunkerque 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Le Mans

11.01.2026 Le Mans - Nancy 1:0 ✺

03.01.2026 Le Mans - Saint-Étienne 0:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Périgny - Le Mans 1:2 ✺

12.12.2025 Annecy - Le Mans 1:2 ✺

05.12.2025 Le Mans - Amiens 1:0 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes ✔	33	20	7	6	60:32	28	67
2	Le Mans	33	15	14	4	48:31	17	59
3	St Etienne	33	17	6	10	54:38	16	57
4	Red Star	33	16	9	8	44:36	8	57
5	Rodez	33	14	13	6	43:38	5	55
6	Reims	33	13	14	6	48:32	16	53
7	Annecy	33	15	7	11	48:37	11	52
8	Montpellier	33	14	8	11	40:30	10	50
9	Pau FC	33	12	9	12	45:57	-12	45
10	Dunkerque	33	11	10	12	51:42	9	43
11	Guingamp	33	10	10	13	42:48	-6	40
12	Grenoble	33	7	15	11	32:39	-7	36
13	Boulogne	33	9	9	15	33:47	-14	36
14	Clermont	33	8	10	15	37:44	-7	34
15	Nancy	33	8	10	15	32:50	-18	34
16	Laval	33	5	14	14	28:47	-19	29
17	Bastia	33	5	13	15	23:37	-14	28
18	Amiens ✔	33	6	6	21	37:60	-23	24

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National

Clinched Spots for Teams

Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National