Clermont vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Clermont - Lyon
Result
39:31
26/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app

Match Stats

Tries
54
Conversion Goals
44
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
21
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (17 - 10)
  • 11', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 16', Rey J. 🟨,
  • 28', Matavesi S. (Try),
  • 28', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Raka A. (Try),
  • 30', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Saginadze B. 🟨,
  • 33', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 34', Raka A. (Try),
  • 34', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (22 - 21)
  • 43', Fischer A. (Try),
  • 43', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 49', Dumortier E. (Try),
  • 49', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 61', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 64', Tauzin L. (Try),
  • 68', Shvangiradze B. (Try),
  • 68', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 70', Regard T. (Try),
  • 70', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Urdapilleta B. (Try),
  • 75', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Clermont
70.8%
Draw
3.9%
Lyon
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.6% 4.4% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1% 4.1% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clermont that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Clermont - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.34)
    23.55
    (21)
    3.65
    (3.59)
    8.2%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
  • What is the prediction for Clermont - Lyon?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Lyon will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 31:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 3.
    • Clermont is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lyon is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Clermont could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Clermont is a favorite.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Clermont won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 492:414 (average 25.9:21.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 318:157 (average 31.8:15.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Clermont - Lyon were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Lyon - Clermont 22:30
    03.02.2024 Clermont - Lyon 38:21
    29.10.2023 Lyon - Clermont 41:22
    28.01.2023 Lyon - Clermont 34:14
    01.10.2022 Clermont - Lyon 43:20
    Latest results of Clermont
    19.04.2025 Toulon - Clermont 31:24
    04.04.2025 Northampton Saints - Clermont 46:24
    29.03.2025 Clermont - La Rochelle 33:19
    22.03.2025 Clermont - Racing Métro 21:23
    02.03.2025 Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont 31:18
    Latest results of Lyon
    19.04.2025 Lyon - Montpellier 32:23
    12.04.2025 Ospreys - Lyon 18:20
    06.04.2025 Lyon - Sharks 34:21
    29.03.2025 Aviron Bayonnais - Lyon 28:14
    22.03.2025 Lyon - Vannes 36:21
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais00000:00
    2Castres Olympique00000:00
    3Clermont00000:00
    4Montauban00000:00
    5Montpellier00000:00
    6Stade Francais Paris00000:00
    7USA Perpignan00000:00
    8RC Toulonnais00000:00
    9Stade Toulousain00000:00
    10Racing 9200000:00
    11Stade Rochelais00000:00
    12Bordeaux Begles00000:00
    13Lyon00000:00
    14Section Paloise00000:00

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