Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 26
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (417/484) | 81% (290/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (417/484) | 81% (290/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (143/183) | 62% (39/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 79% (23/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 3.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | 1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Ackra A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Cantero E. ↓, Camblan A. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 1, Bamba K. ⚽,
- 57', Diawara S. 🟨,
- 66', Gambor H. ↓, Boura I. ↑,
- 70', Bamba K. ↓, Fakili I. ↑,
- 71', Diedhiou F. ↓, Guindo M. ↑,
- 71', Detourbet M. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
- 73', Baallal A. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Diawara K. ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 1, Adeline M. ⚽,
- 83', Nsimba V. ↓, Kone E. H. ↑,
- 85', Diawara K. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 86', Maronnier L. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
- 88', Ackra A. ↓, Hunou A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Troyes
56% | Draw
24.6% | Clermont
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Troyes - Clermont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.66) |
3.81 ↑
(3.75) |
4.78 ↓
(4.91) |
7.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Clermont?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Clermont will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 45% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Troyes will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Clermont may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Troyes is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Troyes: Boura I.
(Health problems)
Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Ifnaoui M.
(Injury)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
Phliponeau A.
(Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Clermont: Astic J.
(Inactive)
Boto K.
(Inactive)
Donavin M.
(Inactive)
Douane M.
(Knee Injury)
Gastien J.
(Yellow Cards)
Hunou A.
(Inactive)
Saivet H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Titi Y.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Clermont: Cantero E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Clermont?
Troyes has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Troyes?
Clermont has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Clermont were as follows:
15.08.2025
Clermont
-
Troyes
0:0
18.04.2025
Clermont
-
Troyes
0:2
23.08.2024
Troyes
-
Clermont
0:1
29.07.2023
Clermont
-
Troyes
1:0
09.04.2023
Troyes
-
Clermont
0:2
Latest results of Clermont
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
