Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 25
  • Referee: Gregg S. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
26
Corner kicks
47
Yellow cards
20
Total shots
67
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
41
Corner kicks
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Healy B. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Gibson D. ,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Heatley P. , Gibson D. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 3, Gibson D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', McKay R. , Steele A. ,
  • 53', 1 - 4, Gibson D. ,
  • 60', Healy B. 🟨,
  • 75', Olosunde M. , Lecky A. ,
  • 86', Wilson H. 🟨,
  • 87', Heatley P. , Moore J. ,

Chances of winning


Cliftonville
50.5%
Draw
25.7%
Carrick Rangers
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 23.2% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 22.6% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cliftonville's form might have worsened.
  • Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carrick Rangers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cliftonville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrick Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.55)
    3.56
    (3.96)
    3.84
    (5.3)
    9.3%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 5.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Cliftonville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Carrick Rangers has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cliftonville is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 18 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 50:12. (average 2.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cliftonville won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:3. (average 3.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville 0:1
    06.09.2025 Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville 1:2
    01.04.2025 Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville 1:3
    22.03.2025 Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers 3:0
    12.02.2025 Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers 3:0
    Latest results of Cliftonville
    30.12.2025 Larne - Cliftonville 0:0
    26.12.2025 Cliftonville - Crusaders 1:2
    20.12.2025 Bangor - Cliftonville 1:1
    13.12.2025 Cliftonville - Glenavon 5:2
    Latest results of Carrick Rangers
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Larne ✔ 30197453:213264
    2Coleraine ✔ 30194759:273261
    3Linfield ✔ 30178553:193459
    4Glentoran28175649:282156
    5Dungannon301411536:54-1843
    6Carrick Rangers291161245:47-239
    7Cliftonville271071042:42037
    8Portadown281111634:48-1434
    9Bangor FC30951636:52-1632
    10Ballymena29851634:44-1029
    11Crusaders ✔ 29741837:63-2625
    12Glenavon ✔ 30612327:60-3319

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )