Result
1:4
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 25
- Referee: Gregg S. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 10', 1 - 0, Healy B. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Gibson D. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Heatley P. ⚽, Gibson D. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 3, Gibson D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', McKay R. ↓, Steele A. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 4, Gibson D. ⚽,
- 60', Healy B. 🟨,
- 75', Olosunde M. ↓, Lecky A. ↑,
- 86', Wilson H. 🟨,
- 87', Heatley P. ↓, Moore J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cliftonville
50.5% | Draw
25.7% | Carrick Rangers
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cliftonville's form might have worsened.Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carrick Rangers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cliftonville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrick Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.55) |
3.56 ↓
(3.96) |
3.84 ↓
(5.3) |
9.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 5.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cliftonville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Carrick Rangers has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Cliftonville is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 18 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 50:12. (average 2.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cliftonville won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:3. (average 3.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cliftonville won against Carrick Rangers?
Cliftonville has won 10 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrick Rangers won against Cliftonville?
Carrick Rangers has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers were as follows:
25.10.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Cliftonville
0:1
06.09.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Cliftonville
1:2
01.04.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Cliftonville
1:3
22.03.2025
Cliftonville
-
Carrick Rangers
3:0
12.02.2025
Cliftonville
-
Carrick Rangers
3:0
Latest results of Cliftonville
Latest results of Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Glentoran ✔ | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 62:29 | 33 | 68 |
| 3 | Coleraine ✔ | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 61:30 | 31 | 64 |
| 4 | Linfield ✔ | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 56:22 | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | Cliftonville ✔ | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 47:46 | 1 | 46 |
| 6 | Dungannon ✔ | 32 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 40:57 | -17 | 46 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers ✔ | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 47:51 | -4 | 40 |
| 8 | Portadown ✔ | 32 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 36:57 | -21 | 35 |
| 9 | Ballymena ✔ | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 37:48 | -11 | 33 |
| 10 | Bangor FC ✔ | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 33 |
| 11 | Glenavon ✔ | 32 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 33:60 | -27 | 25 |
| 12 | Crusaders ✔ | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 38:72 | -34 | 25 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Glentoran is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Cliftonville is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Carrick Rangers is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Portadown is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Ballymena is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Bangor FC is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
