Result
2:3
20/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 30
- Referee: Hassan D. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 21', 0 - 1, Gibson D. ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, Crowe J. ⚽,
- 45+2', 0 - 3, Heatley P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Millar L. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 46', Doherty R. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
- 46', O'Neill P. ↓, Sloan D. ↑,
- 46', Ryan A. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 3, O'Connor T. ⚽,
- 66', Crowe J. ↓, Cherry K. ↑,
- 70', Olosunde M. ↓, Moore J. ↑,
- 76', Place M. 🟨,
- 77', Simpson J. ↓, Bent D. ↑,
- 81', 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 84', Steele A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gartside N. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 3, Bent D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Larne
59.9% | Draw
23% | Carrick Rangers
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Larne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Larne - Carrick Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.46) |
4.01 ↓
(4.21) |
5.38 ↓
(6) |
8.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Larne - Carrick Rangers?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Carrick Rangers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, Larne has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Carrick Rangers has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Larne is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:12. (average 1.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:2. (average 1.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Carrick Rangers?
Larne has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrick Rangers won against Larne?
Carrick Rangers has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Carrick Rangers were as follows:
26.12.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Larne
1:2
20.09.2025
Larne
-
Carrick Rangers
2:0
04.03.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Larne
1:0
04.02.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Larne
1:2
26.12.2024
Larne
-
Carrick Rangers
0:0
Latest results of Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 65:26 | 39 | 79 |
| 2 | Glentoran | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 71:32 | 39 | 76 |
| 3 | Coleraine | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 74:35 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Linfield ✔ | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 60:28 | 32 | 66 |
| 5 | Cliftonville ✔ | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 47 |
| 6 | Dungannon ✔ | 36 | 15 | 1 | 20 | 42:68 | -26 | 46 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Cliftonville is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
