Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 22
- Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Rios R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', Rivero G. ↓, Silba L. ↑,
- 59', Martinez D. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
- 60', Mana N. ↓, Ayala E. ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez A. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
- 70', Baldunciel L. ↓, Conechny R. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Giacopuzzi F. ⚽,
- 73', Gancedo M. ↓, Punet L. ↑,
- 73', Orlando J. ↓, Dornell T. ↑,
- 80', Perez B. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
- 83', Luayza M. ↓, Quiroga F. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Juncos B. ⚽,
- 90+4', Solis N. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
- 90+5', Quiroga F. 🟨,
- 90+8', Juncos B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Madryn
62.5% | Draw
25.3% | Club Almagro
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Madryn's performance.Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club Almagro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Madryn that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Almagro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Madryn - Club Almagro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.89) |
3.68 ↑
(2.92) |
7.52 ↑
(4.73) |
8.2%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn - Club Almagro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Madryn will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
- Deportivo Madryn is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Almagro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Almagro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the clear favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Club Almagro?
Deportivo Madryn has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club Almagro won against Deportivo Madryn?
Club Almagro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Madryn - Club Almagro were as follows:
08.03.2025
Club Almagro
-
Deportivo Madryn
1:0
25.08.2024
Club Almagro
-
Deportivo Madryn
0:1
07.04.2024
Deportivo Madryn
-
Club Almagro
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Latest results of Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn ✔ | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 60 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta ✔ | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 55 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez ✔ | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 52 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro ✔ | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 34:23 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | San Miguel ✔ | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 50 |
| 6 | San Martin T. ✔ | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 49 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | Patronato ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 26:26 | 0 | 47 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Ferro | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:33 | -9 | 41 |
| 12 | Los Andes | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 28:28 | 0 | 40 |
| 13 | Club A. Guemes | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | All Boys | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Almagro | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi ✔ | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Alvarado ✔ | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 33 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 34:18 | 16 | 60 |
| 2 | CA Estudiantes | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 40:21 | 19 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 57 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Jujuy ✔ | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 33:25 | 8 | 52 |
| 7 | Temperley | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 52 |
| 8 | Agropecuario | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 41:34 | 7 | 51 |
| 9 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 49 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 48 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 27:30 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 26:39 | -13 | 36 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 21:39 | -18 | 29 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) ✔ | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 16:38 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos ✔ | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
Alvarado is Relegated to
Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to
