Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 13
- Referee: Viola F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
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| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Cucchi P. ⚽, Dornell T. (A),
- 17', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
- 18', Vitale J. 🟨,
- 25', Cardozo F. 🟨,
- 34', Dornell T. 🟨,
- 37', Aleman B. 🟨,
- 39', Luayza M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cucchi P. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
- 46', Parisi L. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
- 46', D. Renteria ↓, Parnisari E. ↑,
- 56', Luayza M. ↓, Castro T. ↑,
- 56', Vitale J. ↓, Rios R. ↑,
- 63', Aleman B. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
- 68', Lattanzio C. ↓, Diosquez N. ↑,
- 71', Rojas M. ↓, Almada A. ↑,
- 75', Ferrero J. 🟨,
- 81', Dornell T. ↓, Quiroga F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Club Almagro
27.6% | Draw
32.7% | San Miguel
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Almagro's form might have worsened.San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Club Almagro - San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.63) |
2.84 ↓
(3.05) |
2.35 ↓
(2.8) |
7.7%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Club Almagro - San Miguel?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Club Almagro won against San Miguel?
Club Almagro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Club Almagro?
San Miguel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - San Miguel were as follows:
Latest results of Club Almagro
Latest results of San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Patronato | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25:24 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Almagro | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 15:21 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Ferro | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 25 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 28:12 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28:19 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Temperley | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 17:19 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Def. de Belgrano | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 28 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 15 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9:30 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
