Club Almagro vs San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Club Almagro - San Miguel
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 13
  • Referee: Viola F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
32
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
32
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
31
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Cucchi P. , Dornell T. (A),
  • 17', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
  • 18', Vitale J. 🟨,
  • 25', Cardozo F. 🟨,
  • 34', Dornell T. 🟨,
  • 37', Aleman B. 🟨,
  • 39', Luayza M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cucchi P. , Orlando J. ,
  • 46', Parisi L. , Sosa D. ,
  • 46', D. Renteria , Parnisari E. ,
  • 56', Luayza M. , Castro T. ,
  • 56', Vitale J. , Rios R. ,
  • 63', Aleman B. , Mosca C. ,
  • 68', Lattanzio C. , Diosquez N. ,
  • 71', Rojas M. , Almada A. ,
  • 75', Ferrero J. 🟨,
  • 81', Dornell T. , Quiroga F. ,

Chances of winning


Club Almagro
27.6%
Draw
32.7%
San Miguel
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30.8% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 32.7% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Almagro's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Club Almagro - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (2.63)
    2.84
    (3.05)
    2.35
    (2.8)
    7.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Club Almagro - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Club Almagro
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn271211438:241447
    2Atletico Atlanta281211527:19847
    3San Martin T271110625:20543
    4San Miguel281110728:24443
    5Patronato27118829:24541
    6Tristan Suarez28914524:19541
    7Gimnasia y Tiro271010723:15840
    8Deportivo Maipu2799925:25036
    9Los Andes27981026:24235
    10Quilmes27891027:27033
    11All Boys27712822:22033
    12Racing Cordoba27891031:35-433
    13Colegiales27961217:22-533
    14Almagro277101020:24-431
    15Ferro28791217:29-1230
    16Club A. Guemes28415924:31-727
    17Alvarado275121017:24-727
    18Arsenal Sarandi28691328:40-1227


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza271410329:131652
    2Gimnasia Jujuy271311331:131850
    3Deportivo Moron271210529:161346
    4Chacarita Juniors281210633:211246
    5CA Estudiantes28136930:191145
    6Estudiantes Rio Cuarto271111527:171044
    7Temperley271111523:17644
    8Chaco For Ever271341028:23543
    9Agropecuario27108931:31038
    10San Telmo27811825:29-435
    11Def. de Belgrano27810922:22034
    12Nueva Chicago28891124:27-333
    13Central Norte28961323:30-733
    14CA Mitre27881119:22-332
    15Colon Santa Fe28841621:34-1328
    16Almirante Brown275101221:31-1025
    17Talleres (R.E)28451913:34-2117
    18Defensores Unidos272101515:45-3016

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation