Club Brugge vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.670.99
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
59
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
410
Passes
77% (270/352)87% (508/581)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.670.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.25
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
86
Shots outside the box
312
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
2327
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free kicks
910
Passes
77% (270/352)87% (508/581)
Long passes
34% (18/53)51% (23/45)
Passes in final third
74% (66/89)75% (133/177)
Crosses
20% (2/10)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.94
Throw ins
1021
Fouls
109
Tackles
45% (9/20)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4243
Clearances
3510
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
92
xGOT faced
1.251.89
Goals prevented
1.25-1.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Diakhon M. , Stankovic A. (A),
  • 11', 2 - 0, Vermant R. , Stankovic A. (A),
  • 22', Murillo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Traore H. J. , Paixao I. ,
  • 50', Vanaken H. 🟨,
  • 53', Murillo M. , Aubameyang P. ,
  • 69', Diakhon M. , Tzolis C. ,
  • 72', Ordonez J. , Spileers J. ,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Stankovic A. , Forbs C. (A),
  • 80', Gouiri A. 🟨,
  • 85', Sabbe K. , Siquet H. ,
  • 85', Vermant R. , Tresoldi N. ,
  • 85', Stankovic A. , Vetlesen H. ,
  • 86', Gouiri A. , Nadir B. ,
  • 87', Kondogbia G. , O'Riley M. ,

Chances of winning


Club Brugge
36%
Draw
25.9%
Olympique Marseille
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 26.4% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 27.3% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.55)
    3.72
    (3.66)
    2.52
    (2.71)
    3.9%
    (3.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 15 - 37.5%). Marseille will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 27.2%57.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Brugge (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Marseille (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Marseille (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Marseille (1.52) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Marseille (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 4 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Marseille (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Brugge (votes: 3 - 13%). Marseille (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Brugge: Audoor L. (Muscle Injury) Tzolis C. (Injury) van den Heuvel D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Emerson (Thigh Injury) Maupay N. (Inactive) Pavard B. (Yellow Cards) Vermot T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Nadir B. (Illness)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Club Brugge
    20.01.2026 Kairat - Club Brugge 1:4
    13.01.2026 Charleroi - Club Brugge 2:0
    08.01.2026 Club Brugge - Sturm Graz 2:2
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2