Result
3:2
06/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 17
- Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 2.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (360/430) | 86% (491/572) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (360/430) | 86% (491/572) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 56% (36/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (100/134) | 68% (87/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Onyedika R. ⚽, Tzolis C. (A),
- 19', Vrancken W. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 1, Muja A. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 1, Ito R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Stankovic A. ↓, Forbs C. ↑,
- 53', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,
- 64', Siquet H. ↓, Sandra C. ↑,
- 64', Tresoldi N. ↓, Furo K. ↑,
- 68', Sandra C. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 2, Furo K. ⚽, Tzolis C. (A),
- 73', Goto K. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
- 75', Yamamoto R. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 75', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Ferrari A. ⚽, Sebaoui I. (A),
- 85', Onyedika R. ↓, Nilsson G. ↑,
- 85', Seys J. ↓, Spileers J. ↑,
- 87', Muja A. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
29.9% | Draw
25.7% | Club Brugge
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sint-Truidense's performance.Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club Brugge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sint-Truidense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↓
(4.57) |
3.71 ↓
(3.9) |
2.13 ↑
(1.7) |
5.5%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Brugge will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 1 - 50%). Brugge (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Sint-Truidense (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Sint-Truidense (1.35) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Brugge (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 1.
- Sint-Truidense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Brugge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Brugge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Hata T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Brugge: Audoor L.
(Muscle Injury)
Jackers N.
(Broken rib)
Reis L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sabbe K.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:44. (average 0.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Club Brugge?
Sint-Truidense has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club Brugge won against Sint-Truidense?
Club Brugge has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge were as follows:
21.09.2025
Club Brugge
-
Sint-Truidense
2:0
15.02.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Club Brugge
2:2
23.11.2024
Club Brugge
-
Sint-Truidense
7:0
17.03.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Club Brugge
2:1
01.10.2023
Club Brugge
-
Sint-Truidense
1:1
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
