Result
2:0
26/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, NBC Universo |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.28 | 0.26 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
87% (385/443) | 77% (261/339) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.28 | 0.26 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.63 | 0.08 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
87% (385/443) | 77% (261/339) |
Long passes |
---|
59% (29/49) | 38% (17/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (95/125) | 71% (70/99) |
Crosses |
---|
39% (9/23) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.31 | 0.29 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 28 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (9/18) | 60% (12/20) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.08 | 1.63 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.08 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Mosquera M. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Estupinan O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mosquera M. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 53', Santos S. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 0, Puma ⚽,
- 65', Madson ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
- 65', Estupinan O. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 68', Barreiro S. 🟨,
- 69', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
- 74', Rodriguez E. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 79', Pizarro R. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
- 80', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Silva L. ↑,
- 83', Barreiro S. 🟨,
- 86', Diaz I. ↓, Estrada A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juárez 44.9% | Draw 27.8% | Club León 27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Juárez - Club León Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↑ (1.88) |
3.39 ↓ (3.7) |
3.45 ↓ (3.7) |
4.8% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 0.
- Juárez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- León has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juárez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Nevarez Pulgarin F. J.
(Injury)
Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in León: Arcila D.
(Injury)
Blanco A.
(Wrist Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Club León?
Juárez has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Juárez?
Club León has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Club León were as follows:
25.01.2025
Club León
-
Juárez
1:0
19.10.2024
Juárez
-
Club León
2:3
27.04.2024
Juárez
-
Club León
1:1
12.11.2023
Club León
-
Juárez
2:1
17.02.2023
Juárez
-
Club León
0:0
Latest results of Club León
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Toluca | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 |
2 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 27 |
3 | Monterrey | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25:19 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 23 |
6 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Juarez | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 13 |
11 | Atlas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Club Leon | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
14 | Queretaro | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 |
15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
18 | Puebla | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )