Result
2:0
26/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, NBC Universo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (385/443) | 77% (261/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (385/443) | 77% (261/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (29/49) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (95/125) | 71% (70/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Mosquera M. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Estupinan O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mosquera M. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 53', Santos S. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 0, Puma ⚽,
- 65', Madson ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
- 65', Estupinan O. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 68', Barreiro S. 🟨,
- 69', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
- 74', Rodriguez E. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 79', Pizarro R. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
- 80', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Silva L. ↑,
- 83', Barreiro S. 🟨,
- 86', Diaz I. ↓, Estrada A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juárez
44.9% | Draw
27.8% | Club León
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Juárez - Club León Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.88) |
3.43 ↓
(3.7) |
3.5 ↓
(3.7) |
5.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Juárez - Club León?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Juárez (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 0.
- Juárez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- León has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juárez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Nevarez Pulgarin F. J.
(Injury)
Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in León: Arcila D.
(Injury)
Blanco A.
(Wrist Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Club León?
Juárez has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Juárez?
Club León has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Club León were as follows:
25.01.2025
Club León
-
Juárez
1:0
19.10.2024
Juárez
-
Club León
2:3
27.04.2024
Juárez
-
Club León
1:1
12.11.2023
Club León
-
Juárez
2:1
17.02.2023
Juárez
-
Club León
0:0
Latest results of Club León
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Club America | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Juarez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | -14 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
