Result
2:2
23/09/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win Sports |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.11 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (370/443) | 78% (244/313) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.11 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (370/443) | 78% (244/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/68) | 30% (12/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (74/108) | 67% (73/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
- 45+5', 2 - 0, Diaz I. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', Arcila D. ↓, Beltran Cruz F. ↑,
- 60', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 60', Sierra J. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 1, Duarte A. ⚽, Esquivel J. (A),
- 65', 2 - 2, Duarte A. ⚽,
- 69', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 72', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
- 72', Funes Mori R. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 73', Santos S. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
- 82', Reyes S. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
- 83', Sierra J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 83', Esquivel J. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 84', Barcenas Y. ↓, Fierro S. ↑,
- 90+5', Lainez M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Meraz R. 🟨,
- 90+7', Duarte A. 🟨,
- 90+13', Barreiro S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Club León
56.9% | Draw
23% | Mazatlan
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Club León - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.62) |
4.08 ↑
(3.75) |
4.72 ↑
(4.33) |
5.7%
(11.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Club León - Mazatlan?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. León (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Club León will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 3.
- In recent matches, León has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mazatlan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, León is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in León: Rodriguez J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, León won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, León won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Mazatlan?
Club León has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Club León?
Mazatlan has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club León - Mazatlan were as follows:
31.01.2025
Mazatlan
-
Club León
1:2
05.11.2024
Club León
-
Mazatlan
0:0
30.01.2024
Mazatlan
-
Club León
2:2
18.08.2023
Club León
-
Mazatlan
2:1
24.03.2023
Mazatlan
-
Club León
1:2
Latest results of Club León
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Monterrey | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25:19 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Juarez | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Atlas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
