Colchester United vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Colchester United - Morecambe
Result
1:0
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
  • Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.36
Ball Possession
71%29%
Goal Attempts
1610
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
66
Blocked Shots
62
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
121
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
138
Offsides
12
Fouls
813
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2724
Touches in the Opposition Box
357
Passes
85% (467/552)64% (147/228)
Passes in the final third
75% (153/205)46% (36/79)
Crosses
29% (8/28)25% (2/8)
Tackles
75% (6/8)60% (6/10)
Clearances Total
2530
Interceptions
18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Bishop T. 🟨,
  • 34', Hendrie L. 🟨,
  • 37', Tutonda D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Angol L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Kelleher F. , Taylor L. ,
  • 56', Anderson H. , Thorn O. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Egbo M. , Thorn O. (A),
  • 71', Cooke C. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 74', Simpson T. , Tucker J. ,
  • 77', Lewis A. , Slew J. ,
  • 78', Songo'o Y. , Macadam H. ,
  • 78', White T. , Dackers M. ,
  • 78', Edwards G. , Jones C. ,
  • 87', Bishop T. , Gordon J. ,
  • 87', Edwards O. , Read A. ,
  • 90+1', Thorn O. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Taylor L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Colchester United
54.5%
Draw
26.5%
Morecambe
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 26.1% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 24.5% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Colchester United - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.65)
    3.57
    (3.6)
    5
    (5.5)
    5.6%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Colchester United - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
    • Colchester is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Morecambe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Colchester have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Colchester is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:16 (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Morecambe were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Morecambe - Colchester United 3:3
    27.01.2024 Morecambe - Colchester United 0:1
    07.10.2023 Colchester United - Morecambe 1:3
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Morecambe
    11.01.2025 Chelsea - Morecambe 5:0
    29.12.2024 Salford City - Morecambe 1:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League