Result
1:0
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.18 | 0.36 |
Ball Possession |
---|
71% | 29% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 8 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 24 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
35 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
85% (467/552) | 64% (147/228) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
75% (153/205) | 46% (36/79) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (8/28) | 25% (2/8) |
Tackles |
---|
75% (6/8) | 60% (6/10) |
Clearances Total |
---|
25 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Bishop T. 🟨,
- 34', Hendrie L. 🟨,
- 37', Tutonda D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Angol L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Kelleher F. ↓, Taylor L. ↑,
- 56', Anderson H. ↓, Thorn O. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Egbo M. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
- 71', Cooke C. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
- 74', Simpson T. ↓, Tucker J. ↑,
- 77', Lewis A. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
- 78', Songo'o Y. ↓, Macadam H. ↑,
- 78', White T. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 78', Edwards G. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
- 87', Bishop T. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
- 87', Edwards O. ↓, Read A. ↑,
- 90+1', Thorn O. 🟨,
- 90+5', Taylor L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colchester United 54.5% | Draw 26.5% | Morecambe 18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Colchester United - Morecambe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↑ (1.65) |
3.57 ↓ (3.6) |
5 ↓ (5.5) |
5.6% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Morecambe?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
- Colchester is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Morecambe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Colchester have a series of guest games.
- In this match Colchester is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:16 (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Morecambe?
Colchester United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Colchester United?
Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Morecambe were as follows:
14.09.2024
Morecambe
-
Colchester United
3:3
27.01.2024
Morecambe
-
Colchester United
0:1
07.10.2023
Colchester United
-
Morecambe
1:3
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Morecambe
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League