Result
1:0
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 35 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (467/552) | 64% (147/228) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (153/205) | 46% (36/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 25% (2/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 60% (6/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Bishop T. 🟨,
- 34', Hendrie L. 🟨,
- 37', Tutonda D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Angol L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Kelleher F. ↓, Taylor L. ↑,
- 56', Anderson H. ↓, Thorn O. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Egbo M. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
- 71', Cooke C. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
- 74', Simpson T. ↓, Tucker J. ↑,
- 77', Lewis A. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
- 78', Songo'o Y. ↓, Macadam H. ↑,
- 78', White T. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 78', Edwards G. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
- 87', Bishop T. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
- 87', Edwards O. ↓, Read A. ↑,
- 90+1', Thorn O. 🟨,
- 90+5', Taylor L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colchester United
54.5% | Draw
26.5% | Morecambe
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Colchester United - Morecambe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.65) |
3.57 ↓
(3.6) |
5 ↓
(5.5) |
5.6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Morecambe?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
- Colchester is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Morecambe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Colchester have a series of guest games.
- In this match Colchester is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:16 (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Morecambe?
Colchester United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Colchester United?
Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Morecambe were as follows:
14.09.2024
Morecambe
-
Colchester United
3:3
27.01.2024
Morecambe
-
Colchester United
0:1
07.10.2023
Colchester United
-
Morecambe
1:3
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Morecambe
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
