Colchester United vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
  • Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.36
Ball Possession
71%29%
Goal Attempts
1610
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
66
Blocked Shots
62
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
121
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
138
Offsides
12
Fouls
813
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2724
Touches in the Opposition Box
357
Passes
85% (467/552)64% (147/228)
Passes in the final third
75% (153/205)46% (36/79)
Crosses
29% (8/28)25% (2/8)
Tackles
75% (6/8)60% (6/10)
Clearances Total
2530
Interceptions
18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Bishop T. 🟨,
  • 34', Hendrie L. 🟨,
  • 37', Tutonda D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Angol L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Kelleher F. , Taylor L. ,
  • 56', Anderson H. , Thorn O. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Egbo M. , Thorn O. (A),
  • 71', Cooke C. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 74', Simpson T. , Tucker J. ,
  • 77', Lewis A. , Slew J. ,
  • 78', Songo'o Y. , Macadam H. ,
  • 78', White T. , Dackers M. ,
  • 78', Edwards G. , Jones C. ,
  • 87', Bishop T. , Gordon J. ,
  • 87', Edwards O. , Read A. ,
  • 90+1', Thorn O. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Taylor L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Colchester United
54.5%
Draw
26.5%
Morecambe
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 26.1% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 24.5% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Colchester United - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.65)
    3.57
    (3.6)
    5
    (5.5)
    5.6%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Colchester United - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
    • Colchester is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Morecambe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Colchester have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Colchester is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:16 (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Morecambe were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Morecambe - Colchester United 3:3
    27.01.2024 Morecambe - Colchester United 0:1
    07.10.2023 Colchester United - Morecambe 1:3
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Morecambe
    11.01.2025 Chelsea - Morecambe 5:0
    29.12.2024 Salford City - Morecambe 1:0
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One