Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 0.90 |
Ball Possession |
---|
29% | 71% |
Total shots |
---|
3 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
59% (128/216) | 81% (422/524) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 0.90 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.00 | 0.13 |
Total shots |
---|
3 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
0 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 33 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
59% (128/216) | 81% (422/524) |
Long passes |
---|
25% (15/60) | 35% (23/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
44% (38/86) | 65% (88/136) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (2/10) | 40% (12/30) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.88 | 1.10 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (21/26) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 57 |
Clearances Total |
---|
47 | 10 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.13 | 1.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.13 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Simpson T. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Simpson T. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
- 73', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 73', Whitaker C. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 74', Edwards O. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
- 77', Platt M. 🟨,
- 82', Bedeau J. 🟨,
- 86', Jarvis W. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 86', Egbo M. 🟨,
- 89', Thorn O. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
- 90+5', Iandolo E. 🟨,
- 90+5', McGoldrick D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colchester United 32% | Draw 29.5% | Notts County 38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Colchester United - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.96 ↑ (2.54) |
3.21 ↑ (3.19) |
2.43 ↓ (2.76) |
6.1% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
- Recent matches Colchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Notts County is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Notts County could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Colchester: Oni M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Notts County: Ness L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H.
(Injury)
Bishop T.
(Inactive)
Edwards O.
(Injury)
Payne J.
(Injury)
Tovide S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S.
(Injury)
Bass A.
(Injury)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 16:32 (average 1:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1.6:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Notts County?
Colchester United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Colchester United?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Notts County were as follows:
18.02.2025
Notts County
-
Colchester United
1:1
20.04.2024
Notts County
-
Colchester United
1:0
30.09.2023
Colchester United
-
Notts County
5:4
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League