Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (128/216) | 81% (422/524) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (128/216) | 81% (422/524) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (15/60) | 35% (23/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (38/86) | 65% (88/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 40% (12/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (21/26) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 57 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 47 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Simpson T. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Simpson T. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
- 73', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 73', Whitaker C. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 74', Edwards O. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
- 77', Platt M. 🟨,
- 82', Bedeau J. 🟨,
- 86', Jarvis W. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 86', Egbo M. 🟨,
- 89', Thorn O. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
- 90+5', Iandolo E. 🟨,
- 90+5', McGoldrick D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colchester United
32% | Draw
29.5% | Notts County
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Colchester United - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.54) |
3.21 ↑
(3.19) |
2.43 ↓
(2.76) |
6.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
- Recent matches Colchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Notts County is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Notts County could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Colchester: Oni M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Notts County: Ness L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H.
(Injury)
Bishop T.
(Inactive)
Edwards O.
(Injury)
Payne J.
(Injury)
Tovide S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S.
(Injury)
Bass A.
(Injury)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 16:32 (average 1:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1.6:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Notts County?
Colchester United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Colchester United?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Notts County were as follows:
18.02.2025
Notts County
-
Colchester United
1:1
20.04.2024
Notts County
-
Colchester United
1:0
30.09.2023
Colchester United
-
Notts County
5:4
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
