Result
1:3
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 17
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (470/558) | 67% (169/252) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (470/558) | 67% (169/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/52) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (149/198) | 41% (37/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.94 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Vincent-Young K. (Own goal),
- 14', 1 - 1, Anderson H. ⚽,
- 21', Flanagan T. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
- 28', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 45', Robertson S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', 1 - 2, Mbick M. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
- 59', Read A. 🟨,
- 65', Grant C. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 65', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 71', Tovide S. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
- 71', Lisbie K. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
- 71', Palmer M. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 71', Bennetts K. ↓, Iorpenda T. ↑,
- 77', Mbick M. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 81', Vincent-Young K. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Goodwin W. ⚽, Gordon J. (A),
Chances of winning
Notts County
42.5% | Draw
28% | Colchester United
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Notts County - Colchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.09) |
3.37 ↓
(3.47) |
3.16 ↓
(3.21) |
6.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Notts County - Colchester United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K.
(Knee Injury)
Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Gape D.
(Inactive)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Colchester United?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Notts County?
Colchester United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Colchester United were as follows:
05.04.2025
Colchester United
-
Notts County
1:0
18.02.2025
Notts County
-
Colchester United
1:1
20.04.2024
Notts County
-
Colchester United
1:0
30.09.2023
Colchester United
-
Notts County
5:4
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Colchester United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 54:32 | 22 | 62 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 46:30 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:24 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Swindon | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 50:34 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 59:33 | 26 | 54 |
| 6 | Salford | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | Walsall | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 49:41 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Crewe | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Barnet | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 11 | Colchester | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 45 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 13 | Accrington | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 43 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 40:36 | 4 | 41 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | Oldham | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 43:51 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 29:51 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:50 | -22 | 27 |
| 20 | Crawley | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 32:51 | -19 | 26 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 26 |
| 22 | Barrow | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 24 |
| 23 | Newport | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22:50 | -28 | 21 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
