Colchester United vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Colchester United - Notts County
Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.90
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
314
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
59% (128/216)81% (422/524)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.000.13
Total shots
314
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
18
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1333
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
914
Passes
59% (128/216)81% (422/524)
Long passes
25% (15/60)35% (23/66)
Passes in final third
44% (38/86)65% (88/136)
Crosses
20% (2/10)40% (12/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.10
Fouls
149
Tackles
81% (21/26)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5557
Clearances Total
4710
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.131.00
Goals prevented
0.13-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Simpson T. , Thorn O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Simpson T. , Tovide S. ,
  • 73', Tsaroulla N. , Jones J. ,
  • 73', Whitaker C. , Traore M. ,
  • 74', Edwards O. , Hunt R. ,
  • 77', Platt M. 🟨,
  • 82', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 86', Jarvis W. , Grant C. ,
  • 86', Egbo M. 🟨,
  • 89', Thorn O. , Scully A. ,
  • 90+5', Iandolo E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', McGoldrick D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Colchester United
32%
Draw
29.5%
Notts County
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 29.3% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 29.1% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Colchester United - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.54)
    3.21
    (3.19)
    2.43
    (2.76)
    6.1%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Colchester United - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
    • Recent matches Colchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Notts County is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Notts County could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Colchester: Oni M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H. (Injury) Bishop T. (Inactive) Edwards O. (Injury) Payne J. (Injury) Tovide S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S. (Injury) Bass A. (Injury) Jones J. (Inactive)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 16:32 (average 1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1.6:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Notts County were as follows:
    18.02.2025 Notts County - Colchester United 1:1
    20.04.2024 Notts County - Colchester United 1:0
    30.09.2023 Colchester United - Notts County 5:4
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League