Notts County vs Colchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 17
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.68
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
84% (470/558)67% (169/252)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.602.06
Total shots
148
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
84% (470/558)67% (169/252)
Long passes
37% (19/52)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
75% (149/198)41% (37/90)
Crosses
21% (7/34)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.69
Throw-ins
2123
Fouls
1414
Tackles
77% (10/13)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5457
Clearances
2651
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.060.60
Goals prevented
-0.940.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Vincent-Young K. (Own goal),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Anderson H. ,
  • 21', Flanagan T. , Hunt R. ,
  • 28', Lisbie K. 🟨,
  • 45', Robertson S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', 1 - 2, Mbick M. , Lisbie K. (A),
  • 59', Read A. 🟨,
  • 65', Grant C. , Dennis M. ,
  • 65', Tsaroulla N. , Jarvis W. ,
  • 71', Tovide S. , Goodwin W. ,
  • 71', Lisbie K. , Gordon J. ,
  • 71', Palmer M. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 71', Bennetts K. , Iorpenda T. ,
  • 77', Mbick M. , Williams J. ,
  • 81', Vincent-Young K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Goodwin W. , Gordon J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
42.5%
Draw
28%
Colchester United
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 26.7% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 26.5% 28.7%

Notts County - Colchester United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.2
(2.09)
3.37
(3.47)
3.16
(3.21)
6.9%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Notts County - Colchester United?
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K. (Knee Injury) Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Colchester: Akande A. (Knee Injury) Gape D. (Inactive) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Colchester United were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Colchester United - Notts County 1:0
    18.02.2025 Notts County - Colchester United 1:1
    20.04.2024 Notts County - Colchester United 1:0
    30.09.2023 Colchester United - Notts County 5:4
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Colchester United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Gillingham1978426:20629
    7Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    8Salford1892724:25-129
    9Colchester1977528:21728
    10Chesterfield1877432:29328
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League