Notts County vs Colchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Meadow Lane (Nottingham).

League Two - Round 17
Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.68
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
84% (470/558)	67% (169/252)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.60	2.06
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
38	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
14	14
Passes
84% (470/558)	67% (169/252)
Long passes
37% (19/52)	40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
75% (149/198)	41% (37/90)
Crosses
21% (7/34)	7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.26	0.69
Throw-ins
21	23
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
77% (10/13)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
54	57
Clearances
26	51
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
2.06	0.60
Goals prevented
-0.94	0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Vincent-Young K. (Own goal),
14', 1 - 1, Anderson H. ⚽,
21', Flanagan T. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
28', Lisbie K. 🟨,
45', Robertson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 1 - 2, Mbick M. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
59', Read A. 🟨,
65', Grant C. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
65', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
71', Tovide S. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
71', Lisbie K. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
71', Palmer M. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
71', Bennetts K. ↓, Iorpenda T. ↑,
77', Mbick M. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
81', Vincent-Young K. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 3, Goodwin W. ⚽, Gordon J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Notts County
42.5%

Draw
28%

Colchester United
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Notts County - Colchester United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.09)	3.37 ↓ (3.47)	3.16 ↓ (3.21)	6.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Notts County - Colchester United?

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K. (Knee Injury) Luker J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Colchester: Akande A. (Knee Injury) Gape D. (Inactive) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T. (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Colchester United?

Notts County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Notts County?

Colchester United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Colchester United were as follows:

05.04.2025 Colchester United - Notts County 1:0

18.02.2025 Notts County - Colchester United 1:1

20.04.2024 Notts County - Colchester United 1:0

30.09.2023 Colchester United - Notts County 5:4

Latest results of Notts County

15.11.2025 Notts County - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

10.11.2025 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 1:2 ✺

04.11.2025 Notts County - Manchester United U21 0:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Brackley Town - Notts County 3:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Notts County - Cambridge United 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Colchester United

15.11.2025 Walsall - Colchester United 0:2 ✺

11.11.2025 Colchester United - Fulham U21 2:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Colchester United - Bromley 0:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Swindon Town - Colchester United 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League