Notts County vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 39
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.661.08
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
73
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
73
Passes
88% (500/565)81% (321/396)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.661.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.86
Total shots
177
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
70
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
112
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
128
Passes
88% (500/565)81% (321/396)
Long passes
43% (16/37)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
82% (118/144)60% (51/85)
Crosses
16% (4/25)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.49
Throw ins
2117
Fouls
812
Tackles
71% (10/14)92% (12/13)
Duels won
5234
Clearances
1732
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.861.67
Goals prevented
-0.14-2.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Davison J. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Jones J. , Palmer M. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 1, Palmer M. , Macari L. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 2, Hutchinson I. , Ashfield H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Macari L. 🟨,
  • 49', Ashfield H. 🟨,
  • 59', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 65', Tangen H. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 65', Tsaroulla N. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 65', Grant C. , Norburn O. ,
  • 66', 3 - 2, Iorpenda T. , Palmer M. (A),
  • 72', 4 - 2, Wilson J. (Own goal),
  • 74', Jones J. , Hall T. ,
  • 75', McDonald R. , Ness L. ,
  • 75', Young L. , Deeming C. ,
  • 75', Davison J. , Miller G. ,
  • 75', Ashfield H. , Broom R. ,
  • 81', Sherring S. 🟥,
  • 85', Thomas J. , Martin J. ,
  • 85', Bickerstaff J. , Nurse G. ,
  • 90+1', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 5 - 2, Hall T. , Bennetts K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
61.3%
Draw
23.3%
Cheltenham Town
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 23.8% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 25.2% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Notts County - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.53)
    4.01
    (3.85)
    6
    (5.75)
    7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Cheltenham Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Notts County is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Dennis M. (Yellow Cards) Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Faal M. (Inactive) Harmon G. (Inactive) King T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Platt M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    10.11.2025 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 1:2
    21.04.2025 Notts County - Cheltenham Town 1:2
    29.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 3:5
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One