Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
1:4
25/01/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
chileChileDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruMovistar Deportes
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNHL Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3337
Shots off target
1813
Shooting PCT
3.03% (1/33)10.81% (4/37)
Blocked shots
915
Goalkeeper Saves
3332
Saves PCT
91.67% (33/36)96.97% (32/33)
Penalties
23
PIM
46
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
2814
Faceoffs Won
3326
Faceoffs %
55.9344.07
Giveaways
1417
Takeaways
63
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 06:19, 0 - 1, Nelson B. (G), Makar C. (A),
  • 07:31, 0 - 2, Nelson B. (G), Lehkonen A. (A), Nichushkin V. (A2)
  • 10:34, Lehkonen A. (2 min),
  • 16:36, Benoit S. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 15:43, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 18:53, 0 - 3, Drury J. (G), Kelly P. (A), Kiviranta J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 08:03, Manson J. (2 min),
  • 17:41, 0 - 4, Nelson B. (G), MacKinnon N. (A),
  • 18:25, (2 min),
  • 18:58, 1 - 4, Domi M. (G), McMann B. (A), Cowan E. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
29.3%		Draw
21.3%		Colorado Avalanche
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 21.9% 47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 20.4% 51%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
    •

    Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.25 ↑
    (3.18)    		 4.51 ↑
    (4.42)    		 1.92 ↓
    (2.04)    		 5%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Colorado will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 15.2% – 64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 60%). Colorado (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Toronto (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Colorado (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Recently, Colorado has had a series of home games.
    • Colorado will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Groin Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Colorado: Colton R. (Lower-Body Injury) Landeskog G. (Upper-Body Injury) O'Connor L. (Hip Injury) Toews D. (Upper-Body Injury) Wedgewood S. (Personal Reasons)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 77:65. (average 3.9:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 2.9:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche were as follows:
    12.01.2026 Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    19.03.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche 2:1
    08.03.2025 Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs 7:4
    24.02.2024 Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    13.01.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche 3:5
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    23.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 3:6 ✺
    21.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings 1:2 ✺
    19.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 3:6 ✺
    17.01.2026 Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4 ✺
    15.01.2026 Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:5 ✺
    Latest results of Colorado Avalanche
    23.01.2026 Colorado Avalanche - Philadelphia Flyers 3:7 ✺
    21.01.2026 Colorado Avalanche - Anaheim Ducks 1:2 ✺
    19.01.2026 Colorado Avalanche - Washington Capitals 5:2 ✺
    16.01.2026 Colorado Avalanche - Nashville Predators 3:7 ✺
    12.01.2026 Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche66395913249:17097
    2Dallas Stars673391015235:18494
    3Minnesota Wild6925141218230:19990
    4Anaheim Ducks672215327223:23377
    5Edmonton Oilers69268926243:23577
    6Utah Mammoth68278627214:19176
    7Vegas Golden Knights682381423220:21176
    8Seattle Kraken67256927193:20571
    9Los Angeles Kings6718101524180:20171
    10San Jose Sharks662012628207:23470
    11Nashville Predators67228928199:22869
    12Winnipeg Jets672351128191:20667
    13St. Louis Blues672431030177:22264
    14Chicago Blackhawks671871230178:21762
    15Calgary Flames67224734167:21259
    16Vancouver Canucks67147838176:24850


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes673111619235:19790
    2Buffalo Sabres68357620237:20090
    3Tampa Bay Lightning66329421237:18486
    4Montreal Canadiens6725121020236:22284
    5Pittsburgh Penguins672951518230:20483
    6New York Islanders682514524200:19283
    7Detroit Red Wings682611823200:20382
    8Boston Bruins682710823224:21482
    9Columbus Blue Jackets6724111121217:20981
    10Ottawa Senators66286923225:20577
    11Philadelphia Flyers6620111223191:20574
    12Washington Capitals68285827212:20374
    13New Jersey Devils672212231180:20470
    14Toronto Maple Leafs692181228216:24170
    15Florida Panthers67267331201:22569
    16New York Rangers67199831190:20964

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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