Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
0:2
10/05/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.64
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (309/404)77% (330/431)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.00
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1824
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
76% (309/404)77% (330/431)
Long passes
41% (20/49)37% (26/71)
Passes in final third
65% (97/149)59% (76/128)
Crosses
11% (2/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.43
Throw-ins
2623
Fouls
1511
Tackles
53% (8/15)14% (2/14)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
2328
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.000.70
Goals prevented
-1.000.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', Awaziem C. 🟨,
  • 36', Bouda O. 🟨,
  • 38', Atencio J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Jones D. , Vitor Costa (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Rafael Navarro , Bassett C. ,
  • 62', Maxso A. 🟨,
  • 64', Ronan C. , Harris C. ,
  • 64', Atencio J. , Ku-DiPietro T. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Arango C. ,
  • 71', Bouda O. , Kaye M. ,
  • 71', Harkes I. , Buck N. ,
  • 75', Yapi D. , Cabral K. ,
  • 75', Larraz O. , Frederick W. ,
  • 80', Espinoza C. , Judd P. ,
  • 80', Leroux B. , Lima N. ,
  • 82', Cabral K. 🟨,
  • 83', Vitor Costa , Roberts R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Colorado Rapids
53.4%
Draw
23.1%
San Jose Earthquakes
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 24.1% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 24% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colorado Rapids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colorado Rapids's performance.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colorado Rapids that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Earthquakes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (2.07)
    4.12
    (3.96)
    4.05
    (3.2)
    4.9%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: Colorado Rapids will win (65 of 71 users predict this - 91.55%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.08%98.02%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Colorado Rapids will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Colorado is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Colorado: Bassett C. (Calf Injury) Fadal A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Martinez J. (Lower-Body Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    15.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Colorado Rapids 1:2
    11.05.2024 Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes 2:3
    13.04.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Colorado Rapids 0:3
    03.06.2023 Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes 0:0
    11.03.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Colorado Rapids 1:0
    Latest results of Colorado Rapids
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2