Result
4:5
13/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (402/456) | 90% (452/504) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.73 | 3.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (402/456) | 90% (452/504) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (35/50) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (92/122) | 79% (97/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.85 | 3.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.15 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 5)
- 14', 0 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽,
- 17', 0 - 2, Rossi D. ⚽, Gazdag D. (A), Arfsten M. (A2)
- 25', 0 - 3, Abou Ali W. ⚽, Gazdag D. (A), Herrera A. (A2)
- 30', 0 - 4, Herrera A. ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 5, Rossi D. ⚽, Herrera A. (A), Abou Ali W. (A2)
- 42', Rossi D. ↓, Picard H. ↑,
- 45+2', Cheberko Y. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 5, Almiron M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Brennan L. ↓, Berrocal J. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez R. ↓, Lennon B. ↑,
- 46', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Reilly W. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 5, Amador P. ⚽, Lennon B. (A), Almiron M. (A2)
- 50', 3 - 5, Thiare J. ⚽, Mihaj E. (A),
- 68', Abou Ali W. ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
- 72', Muyumba T. ↓, Miranchuk Al. ↑,
- 74', Reilly W. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 75', Alzate S. 🟨,
- 82', Arfsten M. ↓, Brown T. ↑,
- 82', Gazdag D. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 5, Thiare J. ⚽, Gregersen S. (A), Alzate S. (A2)
- 90+8', Schulte P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
31.2% | Draw
25% | Columbus Crew
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlanta United - Columbus Crew Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.64) |
3.81 ↑
(3.8) |
2.21 ↓
(2.4) |
4.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Columbus Crew?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Atlanta (2.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlanta United will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Edwards M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Fortune A.
(Foot Injury)
Latte Lath E.
(Muscle Injury)
Slisz B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Columbus: Camacho R.
(Thigh Injury)
Zawadzki S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Columbus: Farsi M.
(Pelvis Injury)
Nagbe D.
(Health problems)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:41. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Columbus Crew?
Atlanta United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against Atlanta United?
Columbus Crew has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Columbus Crew were as follows:
25.06.2025
Columbus Crew
-
Atlanta United
3:1
20.07.2024
Atlanta United
-
Columbus Crew
2:1
24.02.2024
Columbus Crew
-
Atlanta United
1:0
12.11.2023
Columbus Crew
-
Atlanta United
4:2
07.11.2023
Atlanta United
-
Columbus Crew
4:2
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Columbus Crew
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | DC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | New York City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
