Result
1:3
04/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (525/593) | 88% (372/425) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 2.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (525/593) | 88% (372/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (17/45) | 59% (24/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (78/110) | 80% (93/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', 0 - 1, Abou Ali W. ⚽, Arfsten M. (A),
- 53', 0 - 2, Abou Ali W. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
- 58', Reilly W. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 58', Muyumba T. ↓, Fortune A. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Miranchuk Al. ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 3, Arfsten M. ⚽, Herrera A. (A),
- 68', Arfsten M. ↓, Picard H. ↑,
- 68', Gomes A. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
- 74', Alzate S. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
- 74', Jacob T. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
- 84', Martino G. 🟨,
- 85', Chambost D. ↓, Bangoura S. ↑,
- 86', Rossi D. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 90', Herrera A. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
- 90', Mihaj E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Baez E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Chambost D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Martino G. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
33.5% | Draw
26.9% | Columbus Crew
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+2%)
Atlanta United - Columbus Crew Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↓
(2.93) |
3.51 ↓
(3.54) |
2.4 ↑
(2.3) |
5.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Columbus Crew?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Columbus will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Atlanta (2.09) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.25 - Atlanta (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Atlanta (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Atlanta (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Atlanta (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlanta United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Columbus (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Reilly W.
(Muscle Injury)
Sergio Santos
(Illness)
- There will not play in Columbus: Farsi M.
(Hernia)
- There are questionable in Atlanta: Berrocal J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 31:43. (average 1.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Columbus Crew?
Atlanta United has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against Atlanta United?
Columbus Crew has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Columbus Crew were as follows:
13.09.2025
Atlanta United
-
Columbus Crew
4:5
25.06.2025
Columbus Crew
-
Atlanta United
3:1
20.07.2024
Atlanta United
-
Columbus Crew
2:1
24.02.2024
Columbus Crew
-
Atlanta United
1:0
12.11.2023
Columbus Crew
-
Atlanta United
4:2
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Columbus Crew
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
