Result
4:1
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Colunga 42.8% | Draw 29.6% | Lenense 27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colunga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colunga's form might have worsened.Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lenense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colunga than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (-4%)
Colunga - Lenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (1.83) |
3.07 ↓ (3.21) |
3.29 ↓ (4.12) |
10.2% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 2.
- Recent performances by Colunga have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lenense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Colunga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Colunga is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colunga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Colunga won against Lenense?
Colunga has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lenense won against Colunga?
Lenense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colunga - Lenense were as follows:
01.11.2024
Lenense
-
Colunga
0:0
17.02.2024
Lenense
-
Colunga
2:0
01.10.2023
Colunga
-
Lenense
0:0
Latest results of Colunga
Latest results of Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 58:14 | 44 | 59 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 48 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:18 | 20 | 42 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Llanes | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Praviano | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 19 |
| 15 | Gijon Industrial | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Lenense | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:45 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 15:48 | -33 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation