Colunga vs Lenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)

Chances of winning


Colunga
42.8%
Draw
29.6%
Lenense
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 28.3% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 26.4% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colunga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colunga's form might have worsened.
  • Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lenense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colunga than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Colunga - Lenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.83)
    3.07
    (3.21)
    3.29
    (4.12)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 2.
    • Recent performances by Colunga have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lenense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Colunga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Colunga is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Colunga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colunga - Lenense were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Lenense - Colunga 0:0
    17.02.2024 Lenense - Colunga 2:0
    01.10.2023 Colunga - Lenense 0:0
    Latest results of Colunga
    14.12.2025 San Martín - Colunga 1:1
    06.12.2025 Colunga - Covadonga 0:1
    23.11.2025 Avilés Stadium - Colunga 0:0
    16.11.2025 Colunga - Llanera 1:7
    09.11.2025 Real Titánico - Colunga 0:3
    Latest results of Lenense
    14.12.2025 Lenense - Mosconia 0:2
    07.12.2025 Ceares - Lenense 2:0
    23.11.2025 Lenense - Caudal Deportivo 1:1
    09.11.2025 Lenense - Navarro 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Llanera24194150:173361
    2Covadonga24185158:144459
    3Gijon B24139254:193548
    4Caudal Deportivo24136542:291345
    5Mosconia24126638:182042
    6L'Entregu2499628:27136
    7CD Colunga2497829:35-634
    8Union Club Ceares2489725:20533
    9EI San Martin2488826:28-232
    10Club Siero2487932:32031
    11Llanes24612632:31130
    12Praviano24771023:31-828
    13Aviles Stadium24411914:29-1523
    14SD Navarro CF243101126:40-1419
    15Gijon Industrial24381319:42-2317
    16Lenense24291318:42-2415
    17Tuilla24351618:45-2714
    18Real Titanico24181515:48-3311

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