Result
4:1
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Colunga
42.8% | Draw
29.6% | Lenense
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colunga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colunga's form might have worsened.Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lenense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colunga than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (-4%)
Colunga - Lenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.83) |
3.07 ↓
(3.21) |
3.29 ↓
(4.12) |
10.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 2.
- Recent performances by Colunga have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lenense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Colunga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Colunga is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colunga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colunga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Colunga won against Lenense?
Colunga has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lenense won against Colunga?
Lenense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colunga - Lenense were as follows:
01.11.2024
Lenense
-
Colunga
0:0
17.02.2024
Lenense
-
Colunga
2:0
01.10.2023
Colunga
-
Lenense
0:0
Latest results of Colunga
Latest results of Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 62:17 | 45 | 82 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 79:21 | 58 | 74 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 31 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 76:24 | 52 | 61 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 54:36 | 18 | 60 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 45:25 | 20 | 54 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 |
| 9 | CD Colunga | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Praviano | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Club Siero | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Llanes | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 42:46 | -4 | 34 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 18:35 | -17 | 32 |
| 14 | Lenense | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 30:53 | -23 | 28 |
| 15 | SD Navarro CF | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Tuilla | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:52 | -22 | 27 |
| 17 | Gijon Industrial | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 28:54 | -26 | 25 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 31 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 18:69 | -51 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
