Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (208/272) | 82% (304/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (208/272) | 82% (304/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (35/75) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 62% (78/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 35% (11/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Lecaros A. ⚽, Guzman W. (A),
- 38', Graneros A. 🟨,
- 43', Lecaros A. ↓, Saavedra C. ↑,
- 45+3', Guzman P. 🟨,
- 45+5', Aguilar R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Guzman P. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
- 48', Marina J. 🟨,
- 63', Marina J. ↓, Chipao R. ↑,
- 63', Paredes G. ↓, Mendez P. ↑,
- 65', Larios Saavedra G. A. 🟨,
- 68', Perleche E. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
- 68', Benincasa H. ↓, Vasquez C. ↑,
- 70', Melian D. 🟨,
- 74', Fernandez S. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 75', Flores F. 🟨,
- 77', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 77', Perez J. 🟨,
- 83', Guzman W. ↓, Vilchez Y. ↑,
- 88', Vasquez C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sen M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Vilchez Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Comerciantes Unidos
38.7% | Draw
30.4% | Alianza Atlético
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.38) |
3.07 ↓
(3.3) |
3.02 ↑
(2.85) |
7.1%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Olmedo L.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Alianza Atlético?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
12.06.2025
Alianza Atlético
-
Comerciantes Unidos
3:0
23.09.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Comerciantes Unidos
1:0
23.04.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Alianza Atlético
0:0
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
