Alianza Universidad de Huánuco vs Comerciantes Unidos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos
Result
0:2
06/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.79
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
83% (335/406)75% (215/288)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.861.07
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1912
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
83% (335/406)75% (215/288)
Long passes
43% (24/56)47% (29/62)
Passes in final third
62% (71/114)58% (45/77)
Crosses
25% (4/16)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.42
Fouls
1314
Tackles
80% (4/5)50% (5/10)
Duels won
2935
Clearances Total
1520
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.070.86
Goals prevented
-0.930.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Vasquez Ortega E. O. (Pen),
  • 26', Vasquez Ortega E. O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Garcia L. , Parodi J. ,
  • 46', Ibanez E. , Vega J. ,
  • 46', Lucumi B. , Escalante L. ,
  • 53', 0 - 1, Vega J. , Escalante L. (A),
  • 61', Sen M. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Escalante L. , Carpio Ferro M. P. (A),
  • 67', Oliva E. , Lliuya M. ,
  • 67', Guevara B. , Mendieta J. ,
  • 71', Paredes G. 🟨,
  • 84', Mena Y. , Escobar J. ,
  • 84', Leguia F. , Espinoza Vega F. E. ,
  • 87', Carpio Ferro M. P. , Sosa B. ,
  • 90+2', Sen M. , Portugal B. ,
  • 90+5', Vasquez Ortega E. O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
57.2%
Draw
23.9%
Comerciantes Unidos
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 23.8% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 23% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.67)
    3.93
    (4)
    4.88
    (4.9)
    7.4%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Universidad: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 16).
    • Alianza Universidad has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Comerciantes Unidos is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Alianza Universidad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Alianza Universidad is a favorite.
    • There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Escobar J. (Knee Injury) Ynamine P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Tecilla N. (Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Alianza Universidad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.5:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Universidad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
    31.08.2023 Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 0:0
    05.06.2023 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos 0:3
    04.09.2022 Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 3:1
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes18123338:122639
    2Alianza Lima18114323:111237
    3Alianza Atl18111628:181034
    4Cusco1794431:201131
    5FBC Melgar1887328:20831
    6Sport Huancayo1793523:18530
    7Sporting Cristal1792629:23629
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1883728:19927
    9AD Tarma1866624:30-624
    10Cienciano1758429:24523
    11Los Chankas1858524:25-123
    12Grau1757522:22022
    13Sport Boys1855826:28-220
    14Cajamarca1854917:34-1719
    15Binacional1846820:33-1318
    16Juan Pablo II1744919:28-916
    17Ayacucho17331113:27-1412
    18Comerciantes Unidos18251117:31-1411
    19Alianza Huanuco17251016:32-1611

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