Result
02/05/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Cienciano
54.4% | Draw
25.6% | Comerciantes Unidos
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cienciano's form might have worsened.Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comerciantes Unidos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+18.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.34) |
3.61 ↓
(4.9) |
4.58 ↓
(8.47) |
8.5%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Cienciano (1.92) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- EH -2 - Comerciantes Unidos (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Comerciantes Unidos (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 25%). Comerciantes Unidos (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3.
- Cienciano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Comerciantes Unidos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cienciano is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Cienciano has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Cienciano?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
08.08.2025
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Cienciano
1:1
09.03.2025
Cienciano
-
Comerciantes Unidos
3:2
13.07.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Cienciano
1:2
27.01.2024
Cienciano
-
Comerciantes Unidos
1:0
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
