Atlético Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos
Result
1:2
15/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6
  • Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.01
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
90% (484/536)66% (139/210)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.261.59
Total shots
156
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
309
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
912
Passes
90% (484/536)66% (139/210)
Long passes
82% (58/71)28% (16/57)
Passes in final third
81% (132/163)44% (18/41)
Crosses
33% (13/40)67% (2/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.110.46
Throw-ins
209
Fouls
129
Tackles
54% (7/13)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5445
Clearances
1438
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.591.26
Goals prevented
-0.410.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Marchioni J. , Carpio Ferro M. P. (A),
  • 40', Tapia R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Mendez P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bandiera N. , Sandoval T. ,
  • 46', Garcia B. , Rodas E. ,
  • 46', Garro J. , Olivares C. ,
  • 50', Paico K. , Parodi J. ,
  • 57', Vilchez Y. 🟨,
  • 62', Marina J. , Chipao R. ,
  • 63', Mendez P. , Alfaro Martinez G. E. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Sandoval T. , Ruidiaz R. (A),
  • 71', Ruidiaz R. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 71', Carpio Ferro M. P. , Figueroa N. ,
  • 85', Vilca R. , de la Cruz P. ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Sen M. (Pen),
  • 90', Sen M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
63.6%
Draw
23.6%
Comerciantes Unidos
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 21.3% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 20.2% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.4)
    4.27
    (4.38)
    7.92
    (7.88)
    -3.5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Recently, Grau has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Grau is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Grau: Soto D. (Red Card)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Grau won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 3.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau 2:2
    31.07.2024 Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos 3:0
    19.02.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes743011:4715
    2Sporting Cristal642013:21114
    3Cusco54107:1613
    4Deportivo Garcilaso73409:4513
    5Alianza Lima73317:5212
    6Alianza Huanuco73139:10-110
    7Sport Huancayo723210:1009
    8FBC Melgar72327:8-19
    9Los Chankas63039:13-49
    10Cienciano62227:528
    11Grau72149:11-27
    12AD Tarma72145:11-67
    13Alianza Atl51313:216
    14Juan Pablo II61326:8-26
    15Comerciantes Unidos61237:10-35
    16Ayacucho61145:9-44
    17Sport Boys71152:9-74
    18Cajamarca50234:8-42
    19Binacional00000:000

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