Result
1:2
15/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (484/536) | 66% (139/210) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (484/536) | 66% (139/210) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 82% (58/71) | 28% (16/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (132/163) | 44% (18/41) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (13/40) | 67% (2/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Marchioni J. ⚽, Carpio Ferro M. P. (A),
- 40', Tapia R. 🟨,
- 45+3', Mendez P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bandiera N. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 46', Garcia B. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
- 46', Garro J. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 50', Paico K. ↓, Parodi J. ↑,
- 57', Vilchez Y. 🟨,
- 62', Marina J. ↓, Chipao R. ↑,
- 63', Mendez P. ↓, Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Sandoval T. ⚽, Ruidiaz R. (A),
- 71', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 71', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
- 85', Vilca R. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Sen M. (Pen),
- 90', Sen M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
63.6% | Draw
23.6% | Comerciantes Unidos
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.4) |
4.27 ↓
(4.38) |
7.92 ↑
(7.88) |
-3.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Recently, Grau has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Grau is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Grau: Soto D.
(Red Card)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Grau won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 3.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Atlético Grau?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
27.03.2025
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Atlético Grau
2:2
31.07.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Comerciantes Unidos
3:0
19.02.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Atlético Grau
2:2
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Grau | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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