Result
3:0
22/06/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Haro Sueldo D. M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (247/315) | 81% (313/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (247/315) | 81% (313/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 56% (31/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (49/73) | 66% (79/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Sen M. (Pen),
- 21', 2 - 0, Gonzales S. ⚽,
- 30', 3 - 0, Sen M. ⚽, Gonzales S. (A),
- 45', Sosa B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Santillan I. ↓, Agurto F. ↑,
- 46', Guevara A. ↓, Aliaga R. ↑,
- 46', Flores C. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
- 54', Marina J. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
- 54', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Campos H. ↑,
- 61', Sandoval R. ↓, Lecaros A. ↑,
- 67', Sosa B. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 68', Tecilla N. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
- 75', Villar E. ↓, Roca F. ↑,
- 75', Rojas A. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 77', Garcia L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Comerciantes Unidos
46% | Draw
28.6% | Juan Pablo II College
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Unidos's form might have worsened.Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.81) |
3.31 ↓
(3.53) |
3.76 ↓
(4.58) |
7.1%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 15).
- Comerciantes Unidos is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Juan Pablo II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Juan Pablo II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Comerciantes Unidos is considered a favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Juan Pablo II College?
Comerciantes Unidos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Juan Pablo II College has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College were as follows:
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
