Result
0:1
24/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (367/440) | 74% (228/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (367/440) | 74% (228/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (48/83) | 42% (28/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (98/145) | 58% (41/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/40) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Guzman W. ⚽, Marina J. (A),
- 43', Alfaro Martinez G. E. 🟨,
- 45', Tizon C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Ramirez C. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 56', Rodriguez N. ↓, Affonso M. ↑,
- 65', Affonso M. 🟨,
- 67', Rojas A. ↓, Villar E. ↑,
- 68', Parodi J. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
- 68', Marina J. ↓, Chipao R. ↑,
- 78', Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 80', Loyola N. ↓, Agurto F. ↑,
- 89', Toledo J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sen M. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
- 90+3', Marchioni J. ↓, Paico K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juan Pablo II College
52.1% | Draw
27.2% | Comerciantes Unidos
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-2%)
Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.64) |
3.48 ↓
(3.73) |
4.46 ↓
(4.83) |
7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Comerciantes Unidos (1.89) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
- Juan Pablo II has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Comerciantes Unidos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Juan Pablo II is a strong favorite.
- There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Canova J.
(Injury)
Fernandez F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Lecaros A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Juan Pablo II College has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Juan Pablo II College?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
22.06.2025
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Juan Pablo II College
3:0
Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
