Comércio e Indústria vs Alverca B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
29
Total shots
510
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 66', 1 - 2, ,
  • 81', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Comércio e Indústria
29.2%
Draw
30.2%
Alverca B
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 28.7% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 26.8% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comércio e Indústria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comércio e Indústria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alverca B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Comércio e Indústria - Alverca B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.55)
    2.98
    (3.2)
    2.22
    (2.02)
    11.1%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3).
    • Comércio Indústria is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Alverca B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Alverca B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Alverca B will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Comércio e Indústria
    Latest results of Alverca B
    14.12.2025 Alverca B - Serpa 2:1
    07.12.2025 Alcochetense - Alverca B 1:2
    29.11.2025 Alverca B - Oriental 3:1
    09.11.2025 Lagoa - Alverca B 1:0
    02.11.2025 Elvas - Alverca B 2:3
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malveira1997325:16934
    2Juv. Evora1996423:17633
    3Louletano1988320:91132
    4Serpa1986523:23030
    5GD Alcochetense1985625:17829
    6Lagoa1985634:25929
    7Alverca B1884632:27528
    8Sintrense1976620:20027
    9Oriental1968523:25-226
    10O Elvas CAD1974825:23225
    11Moncarapachense1939714:19-518
    12Portimonense B18521116:27-1117
    13Vasco da Gama19110816:35-1913
    14Industria19261116:29-1312

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