Confiança vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Confiança - Bahia
Result
2:0
04/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 5

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Neto Oliveira ,
  • 30', Juninho 🟨,
  • 45+1', Jota 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Renilson , Vitinho ,
  • 46', Thiago Santos , Matheus Blade ,
  • 55', Felipe Scheibig 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Neto Oliveira ,
  • 62', Juninho , Dell ,
  • 66', Airton , Alan Cardoso ,
  • 69', Jota , Wendel Passos ,
  • 69', Vitinho , Roger Gabriel ,
  • 69', Neto Oliveira , Ronald Camarao ,
  • 70', Valdir Junior , Rafinha ,
  • 72', Sidney Duarte 🟨,
  • 79', Eduardo Moura 🟨,
  • 86', David Martins , Gustavo Ulguim ,
  • 87', Kaua Davi , Gerald ,

Chances of winning


Confiança
43.3%
Draw
28%
Bahia
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.2% 25.3% 56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 24.5% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Confiança's performance.
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-25.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Confiança that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+29.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Confiança - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (5.01)
    3.25
    (3.6)
    3.19
    (1.62)
    9.9%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Confiança - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Bahia will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Confiança: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Confiança (votes: 1 - 50%). Bahia (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches Confiança is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bahia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bahia is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3
    Latest results of Confiança
    01.06.2025 Confiança - Brusque 4:1
    24.05.2025 CS Alagoano - Confiança 0:0
    19.05.2025 Confiança - Londrina 0:2
    03.05.2025 Maringá - Confiança 3:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    31.05.2025 Bahia - São Paulo 2:1
    28.05.2025 Internacional RS - Bahia 2:1
    25.05.2025 Grêmio - Bahia 1:0
    21.05.2025 Bahia - Paysandu 4:0
    18.05.2025 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca
    2BahiaCeara

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2