Result
2:2
25/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Ukraine | Maincast Sport |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (450/518) | 75% (221/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (450/518) | 75% (221/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 37% (20/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (135/167) | 59% (53/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', Erick Pulga 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Rollheiser B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Rollheiser B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Michel Araujo ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
- 46', Gabriel Xavier ↓, Gilberto ↑,
- 54', Diogenes 🟨,
- 59', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 65', Thaciano ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 65', Rollheiser B. ↓, Miguelito ↑,
- 72', Caio Alexandre ↓, Erick ↑,
- 72', Miguelito 🟨,
- 73', Olivera C. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Luciano Juba ⚽,
- 80', Rony ↓, Moises ↑,
- 80', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
- 82', Mayke 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, Willian Jose ⚽, Erick Pulga (A),
- 89', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 89', Joao Schmidt ↓, Luan Peres ↑,
- 90+2', Erick Pulga ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 90+6', Everton Ribeiro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
58.4% | Draw
24.2% | Santos
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bahia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Bahia - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.78) |
3.9 ↑
(3.4) |
5.46 ↑
(4.27) |
5.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bahia - Santos?
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bahia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Santos has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bahia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Santos?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Bahia?
Santos has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Santos were as follows:
24.08.2025
Bahia
-
Santos
2:0
06.04.2025
Santos
-
Bahia
2:2
18.09.2023
Bahia
-
Santos
1:2
31.05.2023
Bahia
-
Santos
2:1
17.05.2023
Santos
-
Bahia
0:0
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
