Connacht vs Bristol Rugby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union European Rugby Champions Cup Connacht - Bristol Rugby
Result
27:10
19/01/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Connacht
58.7%
Draw
3.8%
Bristol Rugby
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 4.5% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 4.5% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Bristol Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Connacht - Bristol Rugby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.66)
    22.75
    (20.67)
    2.47
    (2.3)
    8.7%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • Connacht is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Bristol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bristol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Connacht will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Connacht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-27.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Connacht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-27.
    Latest results of Connacht
    13.01.2024 Lyon - Connacht 34:20
    01.01.2024 Connacht - Munster 22:9
    22.12.2023 Ulster - Connacht 20:19
    16.12.2023 Saracens - Connacht 55:36
    08.12.2023 Connacht - Bordeaux Bègles 5:41
    Latest results of Bristol Rugby
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LeinsterHarlequins62 : 0
    2Glasgow WarriorsLeicester Tigers43 : 19
    3Northampton SaintsClermont46 : 24
    4Castres OlympiqueBenetton39 : 37
    5Bordeaux BeglesUlster43 : 31
    6Stade RochelaisMunster24 : 25
    7RC ToulonnaisSaracens72 : 42
    8Stade ToulousainSale Sharks38 : 15

    Quarter-finals
    1LeinsterGlasgow Warriors52 : 0
    2Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique51 : 16
    3Bordeaux BeglesMunster47 : 29
    4RC ToulonnaisStade Toulousain18 : 21

    Semi-finals
    1LeinsterNorthampton Saints34 : 37
    2Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain35 : 18

    Final
    1Northampton SaintsBordeaux Begles20 : 28