Connacht vs Bristol Rugby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
27:10
19/01/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Connacht
58.7%
Draw
3.8%
Bristol Rugby
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 4.5% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 4.5% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Bristol Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Connacht - Bristol Rugby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.66)
    22.75
    (20.67)
    2.47
    (2.3)
    8.7%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • Connacht is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Bristol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bristol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Connacht will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Connacht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-27.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Connacht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-27.
    Latest results of Connacht
    13.01.2024 Lyon - Connacht 34:20
    01.01.2024 Connacht - Munster 22:9
    22.12.2023 Ulster - Connacht 20:19
    16.12.2023 Saracens - Connacht 55:36
    08.12.2023 Connacht - Bordeaux Bègles 5:41
    Latest results of Bristol Rugby
    European Rugby Champions Cup Table
    Main

    Group 1
    PlWDLPts
    1Glasgow Warriors4400115:6620
    2Stade Toulousain4202168:7412
    3Sale Sharks420289:12711
    4Saracens420293:8010
    5Sharks4202107:11710
    6Clermont400457:1650


    Group 2
    PlWDLPts
    1Bath4301180:8916
    2RC Toulonnais4301123:10614
    3Castres Olympique420298:10610
    4Edinburgh420269:14010
    5Munster410399:1018
    6Gloucester410375:1026


    Group 3
    PlWDLPts
    1Leinster4400115:8018
    2Harlequins4301184:8615
    3Stormers4301117:12514
    4Leicester Tigers4103118:1156
    5Stade Rochelais4103101:1146
    6Aviron Bayonnais400458:1730


    Group 4
    PlWDLPts
    1Bordeaux Begles4400173:9720
    2Northampton Saints4301156:11016
    3Bristol4301154:10414
    4Bulls4103113:1817
    5Section Paloise4103110:1606
    6Scarlets4004103:1573

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