Connacht vs Bristol Rugby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/01/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 4
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports

Chances of winning

Connacht
58.7%

Draw
3.8%

Bristol Rugby
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

4.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

4.5%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Bristol Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Connacht - Bristol Rugby Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)	22.75 ↑ (20.67)	2.47 ↑ (2.3)	8.7% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

Preview Facts

Connacht is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Bristol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bristol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Connacht will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Connacht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Connacht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-27.

How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Bristol Rugby?

Connacht has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rugby won against Connacht?

Bristol Rugby has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Connacht - Bristol Rugby were as follows:

Latest results of Connacht

13.01.2024 Lyon - Connacht 34:20 ✺

01.01.2024 Connacht - Munster 22:9 ✺

22.12.2023 Ulster - Connacht 20:19 ✺

16.12.2023 Saracens - Connacht 55:36 ✺

08.12.2023 Connacht - Bordeaux Bègles 5:41 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rugby

13.01.2024 Bristol Rugby - Blue Bulls 17:31 ✺

05.01.2024 Sale Sharks - Bristol Rugby 14:22 ✺

29.12.2023 Bristol Rugby - Exeter Chiefs 14:24 ✺

22.12.2023 Newcastle Red Bulls - Bristol Rugby 13:21 ✺

16.12.2023 Bordeaux Bègles - Bristol Rugby 36:17 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Bordeaux Begles	Leicester Tigers	64 : 14
2	Stade Toulousain	Bristol	59 : 26
3	Bath	Saracens	31 : 22
4	Northampton Saints	Castres Olympique	49 : 41
5	Leinster	Edinburgh	49 : 31
6	Harlequins	Sale Sharks	17 : 26
7	Glasgow Warriors	Bulls	25 : 21
8	RC Toulonnais	Stormers	28 : 27

Quarter-finals

1	Bordeaux Begles	Stade Toulousain	30 : 15
2	Bath	Northampton Saints	43 : 41
3	Leinster	Sale Sharks	43 : 13
4	Glasgow Warriors	RC Toulonnais	19 : 22

Semi-finals

1	Bordeaux Begles	Bath
2	Leinster	RC Toulonnais

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2