Connacht vs Edinburgh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union United Rugby Championship Connacht - Edinburgh
Result
21:31
10/05/2025 at 14:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
irelandIrelandTG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
34
Conversion Goals
34
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 14)
  • 7', Schoeman P. (Try),
  • 8', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 26', Watson H. (Try),
  • 27', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (21 - 17)
  • 41', Treacy F. (Try),
  • 42', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 51', Treacy F. (Try),
  • 52', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 57', Muncaster B. (Try),
  • 58', Muncaster B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Bolton S. (Try),
  • 66', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Shiel C. (Try),
  • 73', Healy B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Healy B. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Connacht
61.6%
Draw
4.3%
Edinburgh
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 4.5% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.8% 5.6% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Connacht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edinburgh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Connacht - Edinburgh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.42)
    21.61
    (20.75)
    2.71
    (3.07)
    7.9%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 2.
    • Connacht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Edinburgh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Connacht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Edinburgh has had a series of home games.
    • Connacht might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 360:428. (average 20:23.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 166:141. (average 20.8:17.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Connacht - Edinburgh were as follows:
    11.11.2023 Edinburgh - Connacht 25:22
    25.03.2023 Connacht - Edinburgh 41:26
    Latest results of Connacht
    26.04.2025 Lions - Connacht 26:7
    19.04.2025 Stormers - Connacht 34:29
    12.04.2025 Connacht - Racing Métro 40:43
    05.04.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 35:20
    29.03.2025 Connacht - Munster 24:30
    Latest results of Edinburgh
    03.05.2025 Edinburgh - Bath 24:39
    25.04.2025 Zebre - Edinburgh 25:25
    18.04.2025 Edinburgh - Sharks 17:18
    12.04.2025 Edinburgh - Blue Bulls 34:28
    04.04.2025 Edinburgh - Lions 24:12
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Leinster (1)Scarlets (8)33 : 21
    2Glasgow Warriors (4)Stormers (5)36 : 18
    3Bulls (2)Edinburgh (7)42 : 33
    4Sharks (3)Munster (6)25 : 24

    Semi-finals
    1Leinster (1)Glasgow Warriors (4)37 : 19
    2Bulls (2)Sharks (3)25 : 13

    Final
    1Leinster (1)Bulls (2)32 : 7