Result
21:31
10/05/2025 at 14:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Ireland | TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 14)
- 7', Schoeman P. (Try),
- 8', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Watson H. (Try),
- 27', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (21 - 17)
- 41', Treacy F. (Try),
- 42', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Treacy F. (Try),
- 52', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Muncaster B. (Try),
- 58', Muncaster B. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Bolton S. (Try),
- 66', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Shiel C. (Try),
- 73', Healy B. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Healy B. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Connacht
61.6% | Draw
4.3% | Edinburgh
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+19.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Connacht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edinburgh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Connacht - Edinburgh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.42) |
21.61 ↑
(20.75) |
2.71 ↓
(3.07) |
7.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 2.
- Connacht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Edinburgh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Connacht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Edinburgh has had a series of home games.
- Connacht might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 360:428. (average 20:23.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 166:141. (average 20.8:17.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Edinburgh?
Connacht has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Edinburgh won against Connacht?
Edinburgh has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Connacht - Edinburgh were as follows:
11.11.2023
Edinburgh
-
Connacht
25:22
25.03.2023
Connacht
-
Edinburgh
41:26
Latest results of Connacht
Latest results of Edinburgh
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 320:170 | 45 |
| 2 | Leinster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 308:242 | 41 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 240:210 | 40 |
| 4 | Munster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 248:225 | 39 |
| 5 | Stormers | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 284:185 | 36 |
| 6 | Ulster | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 312:229 | 36 |
| 7 | Lions | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 325:342 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 304:270 | 30 |
| 9 | Ospreys | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 260:273 | 29 |
| 10 | Connacht | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 258:279 | 25 |
| 11 | Sharks | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 256:333 | 24 |
| 12 | Edinburgh | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 219:213 | 23 |
| 13 | Benetton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 216:281 | 23 |
| 14 | Dragons | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 227:286 | 20 |
| 15 | Scarlets | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 192:263 | 16 |
| 16 | Zebre | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 197:365 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
