Result
26:7
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Ireland | TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (11 - 0)
- 14', Du Plessis R. (Try),
- 19', Wolhuter K. (Penalty Goal),
- 37', Wolhuter K. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (15 - 7)
- 43', Wolhuter K. (Penalty Goal),
- 70', Pretorius J. (Try),
- 74', De Buitlear E. (Try),
- 75', Hawkshaw D. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+2', van der Merwe E. (Try),
- 80+3', Dobela L. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Lions
63.2% | Draw
3.9% | Connacht
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lions - Connacht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.42) |
24.33 ↑
(20.75) |
2.81 ↓
(3.1) |
7.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 64.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
What is the prediction for Lions - Connacht?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 36:29.
Preview Facts
- Lions has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Connacht is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Connacht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Lions have a series of guest games.
- In this match Lions is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lions won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 92:90 (average 30.7:30).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lions won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 30:33
How many head-to-head matches has Lions won against Connacht?
Lions has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Lions?
Connacht has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lions - Connacht were as follows:
23.03.2024
Connacht
-
Lions
14:38
28.01.2023
Connacht
-
Lions
43:24
Latest results of Connacht
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 184:60 | 27 |
| 2 | Cardiff Rugby | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140:101 | 25 |
| 3 | Munster | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 146:116 | 24 |
| 4 | Ulster | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 182:116 | 21 |
| 5 | Glasgow Warriors | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 161:87 | 20 |
| 6 | Leinster | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 150:146 | 16 |
| 7 | Lions | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 176:178 | 16 |
| 8 | Bulls | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 172:190 | 15 |
| 9 | Connacht | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 120:91 | 14 |
| 10 | Edinburgh | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 128:88 | 13 |
| 11 | Zebre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 106:182 | 10 |
| 12 | Benetton | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 101:176 | 9 |
| 13 | Ospreys | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 127:159 | 8 |
| 14 | Sharks | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 113:180 | 8 |
| 15 | Dragons | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 84:175 | 5 |
| 16 | Scarlets | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 81:126 | 4 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
