Result
26:7
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Ireland | TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (11 - 0)
- 14', Du Plessis R. (Try),
- 19', Wolhuter K. (Penalty Goal),
- 37', Wolhuter K. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (15 - 7)
- 43', Wolhuter K. (Penalty Goal),
- 70', Pretorius J. (Try),
- 74', De Buitlear E. (Try),
- 75', Hawkshaw D. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+2', van der Merwe E. (Try),
- 80+3', Dobela L. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Lions
63.2% | Draw
3.9% | Connacht
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lions than the current prediction. (+17.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Connacht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lions - Connacht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.42) |
23.79 ↑
(20.75) |
2.82 ↓
(3.1) |
7.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 64.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
What is the prediction for Lions - Connacht?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 36:29.
Preview Facts
- Lions has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Connacht is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Connacht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Lions have a series of guest games.
- In this match Lions is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lions won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 92:90 (average 30.7:30).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lions won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 30:33
How many head-to-head matches has Lions won against Connacht?
Lions has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Lions?
Connacht has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lions - Connacht were as follows:
23.03.2024
Connacht
-
Lions
14:38
28.01.2023
Connacht
-
Lions
43:24
Latest results of Connacht
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 95:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Munster | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 77:60 | 13 |
| 3 | Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 92:71 | 10 |
| 4 | Zebre | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 53:48 | 9 |
| 5 | Cardiff Rugby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 53:43 | 7 |
| 6 | Glasgow Warriors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 49:35 | 6 |
| 7 | Ulster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 42:21 | 5 |
| 8 | Connacht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:15 | 5 |
| 9 | Benetton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31:40 | 4 |
| 10 | Edinburgh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 47:51 | 3 |
| 11 | Sharks | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36:52 | 2 |
| 12 | Dragons | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 38:59 | 2 |
| 13 | Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40:55 | 1 |
| 14 | Ospreys | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50:79 | 1 |
| 15 | Leinster | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31:74 | 1 |
| 16 | Scarlets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:68 | 0 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
