Lions vs Connacht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union United Rugby Championship Lions - Connacht
Result
26:7
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
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brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
irelandIrelandTG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
31
Conversion Goals
11
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
30
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (11 - 0)
  • 14', Du Plessis R. (Try),
  • 19', Wolhuter K. (Penalty Goal),
  • 37', Wolhuter K. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (15 - 7)
  • 43', Wolhuter K. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Pretorius J. (Try),
  • 74', De Buitlear E. (Try),
  • 75', Hawkshaw D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+2', van der Merwe E. (Try),
  • 80+3', Dobela L. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Lions
63.2%
Draw
3.9%
Connacht
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.5% 4.5% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.5% 5.5% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lions than the current prediction. (+17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Connacht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lions - Connacht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.42)
    24.33
    (20.75)
    2.81
    (3.1)
    7.6%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 64.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for Lions - Connacht?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 36:29.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lions has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Connacht is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Connacht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Lions have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Lions is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Lions won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 92:90 (average 30.7:30).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lions won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 30:33
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lions - Connacht were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Connacht - Lions 14:38
    28.01.2023 Connacht - Lions 43:24
    Latest results of Lions
    19.04.2025 Lions - Benetton Treviso 31:42
    04.04.2025 Edinburgh - Lions 24:12
    29.03.2025 Glasgow Warriors - Lions 42:0
    21.03.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Lions 20:17
    08.03.2025 Sharks - Lions 25:22
    Latest results of Connacht
    19.04.2025 Stormers - Connacht 34:29
    12.04.2025 Connacht - Racing Métro 40:43
    05.04.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 35:20
    29.03.2025 Connacht - Munster 24:30
    22.03.2025 Ospreys - Connacht 43:40
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Leinster (1)Scarlets (8)33 : 21
    2Glasgow Warriors (4)Stormers (5)36 : 18
    3Bulls (2)Edinburgh (7)42 : 33
    4Sharks (3)Munster (6)25 : 24

    Semi-finals
    1Leinster (1)Glasgow Warriors (4)37 : 19
    2Bulls (2)Sharks (3)25 : 13

    Final
    1Leinster (1)Bulls (2)32 : 7