Connacht vs Racing Métro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Challenge Cup Rugby Connacht - Racing Métro
Result
40:43
12/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3, France 4
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
worldWorldEPCR Rugby TV

Match Stats

Tries
65
Conversion Goals
43
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
04
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (28 - 24)
  • 2', Aki B. (Try),
  • 3', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 5', Naituvi W. (Try),
  • 8', Prendergast C. (Try),
  • 9', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 12', (Penalty Try),
  • 18', Escobar D. (Try),
  • 25', Le Garrec N. (Try),
  • 25', Lancaster D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Prendergast C. (Try),
  • 31', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Tuisova J. (Try),
  • 34', Lancaster D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 19)
  • 42', Lancaster D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 49', Le Garrec N. (Try),
  • 50', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 56', Le Garrec N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 58', (Penalty Goal),
  • 64', Le Garrec N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 72', Murphy B. (Try),
  • 78', Forde C. (Try),
  • 79', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Connacht
65.1%
Draw
3.9%
Racing Métro
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 4.4% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5% 4.6% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Racing Métro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Métro than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Connacht - Racing Métro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.38)
    23.67
    (21.25)
    3
    (3.26)
    8.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Connacht - Racing Métro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Racing Métro will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Connacht is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Racing Métro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Connacht have a series of home games.
    • In this match Connacht is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Connacht to win the game is with odds 1.41.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Connacht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:26
    Latest results of Connacht
    05.04.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 35:20
    29.03.2025 Connacht - Munster 24:30
    22.03.2025 Ospreys - Connacht 43:40
    01.03.2025 Connacht - Benetton Treviso 38:30
    15.02.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 24:19
    Latest results of Racing Métro
    05.04.2025 Perpignan - Racing Métro 18:24
    22.03.2025 Clermont - Racing Métro 21:23
    22.02.2025 La Rochelle - Racing Métro 21:26
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1EdinburghLions24 : 12
    2Aviron BayonnaisBulls22 : 32
    3Section PaloiseBath24 : 49
    4MontpellierGloucester17 : 24
    5OspreysScarlets36 : 14
    6LyonSharks34 : 21
    7ConnachtCardiff Rugby35 : 20
    8USA PerpignanRacing 9218 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1EdinburghBulls34 : 28
    2BathGloucester61 : 26
    3OspreysLyon18 : 20
    4ConnachtRacing 9240 : 43

    Semi-finals
    1EdinburghBath24 : 39
    2LyonRacing 9229 : 15

    Final
    1BathLyon37 : 12