Arenal vs Constancia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Arenal - Constancia
Result
1:1
16/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 25

Chances of winning


Arenal
16.5%
Draw
25.6%
Constancia
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 27.6% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 27.8% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenal's form might have worsened.
  • Constancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Constancia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Constancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arenal - Constancia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.48
    (3.82)
    3.53
    (3.3)
    1.56
    (1.87)
    10.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Arenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Constancia is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Arenal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arenal - Constancia were as follows:
    28.10.2023 Constancia - Arenal 1:0
    Latest results of Arenal
    09.03.2024 Collerense - Arenal 1:2
    24.02.2024 Arenal - Binissalem 1:0
    17.02.2024 Inter Manacor - Arenal 0:0
    10.02.2024 Arenal - Mercadal 1:1
    Latest results of Constancia
    09.03.2024 Constancia - Binissalem 2:0
    01.03.2024 Inter Manacor - Constancia 0:0
    24.02.2024 Constancia - Mercadal 1:0
    17.02.2024 Felanitx - Constancia 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2