Result
1:4
15/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 26
Chances of winning
Mercadal
29.9% | Draw
31.1% | Constancia
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Constancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Mercadal - Constancia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(3.01) |
2.93 ↑
(2.91) |
2.33 ↑
(2.32) |
10%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 1.
- Mercadal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Constancia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Constancia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mercadal won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Constancia?
Mercadal has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Constancia won against Mercadal?
Constancia has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mercadal - Constancia were as follows:
02.11.2025
Constancia
-
Mercadal
0:2
15.03.2025
Mercadal
-
Constancia
0:1
20.11.2024
Constancia
-
Mercadal
2:1
24.02.2024
Constancia
-
Mercadal
1:0
08.10.2023
Mercadal
-
Constancia
1:1
Latest results of Mercadal
Latest results of Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 97:21 | 76 | 80 |
| 2 | Manacor | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:34 | 34 | 76 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66:28 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | Constancia | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 56:28 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 18 | 54 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | Formentera | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 46 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 34:51 | -17 | 41 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:55 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 34:58 | -24 | 37 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 37:58 | -21 | 35 |
| 15 | Portmany | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 39:61 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 27:57 | -30 | 23 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32:66 | -34 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
